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RB Leipzig W vs Freiburg W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Bundesliga Women 2025/2026 Red Bull Arena, Leipzig
RB Leipzig W Logo

RB Leipzig W

2 - 0
FT
Freiburg W Logo

Freiburg W

Our Tip

Match Events

20'
Joly L.
29'
Schasching A.
32'
Karl L.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Bundesliga Women 2025/2026 game between RB Leipzig W and Freiburg W finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward RB Leipzig W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
RB Leipzig W
15%
Draws
40%
Freiburg W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: RB Leipzig W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Freiburg W come out ahead of RB Leipzig W on wins alone.
  • Model gives RB Leipzig W a 45% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
RB Leipzig W Clean Sheet 15%
Freiburg W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric RB Leipzig W Freiburg W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 13
Draws 8 4
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 2.24 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Bundesliga Women
RB Leipzig W vs Freiburg W
2:0
Nov 3, 2025 Bundesliga Women
Freiburg W vs RB Leipzig W
2:4
Mar 30, 2025 Bundesliga Women
RB Leipzig W vs Freiburg W
1:1
Oct 20, 2024 Bundesliga Women
Freiburg W vs RB Leipzig W
4:1
May 20, 2024 Bundesliga Women
Freiburg W vs RB Leipzig W
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

RB Leipzig W Compare

Top Goalscorer Landenberger J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Boboy D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Freiburg W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

RB Leipzig W 75 / 100
Freiburg W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
RB Leipzig W Freiburg W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RB Leipzig W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

RB Leipzig W's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Freiburg W let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

RB Leipzig W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

RB Leipzig W VS Freiburg W
2.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

RB Leipzig W

(Home)
03 Oct
RB Leipzig W
5 : 0
Mainz W
27 Sept
Blau-Gelb Marburg W
0 : 2
RB Leipzig W
20 Sept
Union Berlin W
3 : 2
RB Leipzig W
12 Sept
RB Leipzig W
2 : 1
1.FC Nurnberg W
05 Sept
Hamburger W
1 : 1
RB Leipzig W
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Freiburg W

(Away)
03 Oct
Koln W
0 : 1
Freiburg W
26 Sept
Andernach W
1 : 2
Freiburg W
20 Sept
Freiburg W
1 : 2
Bayer Leverkusen W
13 Sept
Freiburg W
3 : 0
Mainz W
06 Sept
Bayern Munich W
4 : 1
Freiburg W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich W 26 24 2 0 90:9 74
2 Wolfsburg W 26 18 4 4 72:38 58
3 Eintracht Frankfurt W 26 16 3 7 65:43 51
4 Hoffenheim W 26 14 4 8 48:30 46
5 Bayer Leverkusen W 26 15 1 10 46:36 46
6 Werder Bremen W 26 12 7 7 42:36 43
7 Koln W 26 11 4 11 36:37 37
8 Freiburg W 26 10 4 12 44:46 34
9 Union Berlin W 26 8 6 12 42:51 30
10 RB Leipzig W 26 7 7 12 39:48 28
11 1.FC Nurnberg W 26 6 4 16 33:61 22
12 Hamburger W 26 4 6 16 26:57 18
13 SGS Essen W 26 3 7 16 22:63 16
14 Carl Zeiss Jena W 26 2 5 19 22:72 11
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (League phase)
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (Qualification - First stage)
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga Women (Main)