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RC Alcobendas vs Rayo Vallecano B - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Gomez C.
45' Event
Esperalta A.
61' Event
Baldobar J.

AI Match Summary

RC Alcobendas in this Tercera RFEF - Group 7 matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored RC Alcobendas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

62%
RC Alcobendas
30%
Draws
8%
Rayo Vallecano B
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: RC Alcobendas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Rayo Vallecano B have won more games recently than RC Alcobendas.
  • Model gives RC Alcobendas a 62% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
RC Alcobendas Clean Sheet 20%
Rayo Vallecano B Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric RC Alcobendas Rayo Vallecano B
Matches Played 5 35
Wins 2 8
Draws 2 3
Losses 1 24
Goals Scored 2.2 1.06
Goals Conceded 1.8 1.89
Expected Goals (xG) 1.92 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
RC Alcobendas vs Rayo Vallecano B
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

RC Alcobendas Compare

Top Goalscorer Gomez C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Esperalta A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.96

Rayo Vallecano B Compare

Top Goalscorer Baldobar J.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

RC Alcobendas 85 / 100
Rayo Vallecano B 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
RC Alcobendas Rayo Vallecano B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RC Alcobendas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: RC Alcobendas scored in 80% of their last 5 outings.

These sides typically produce 6.00 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Rayo Vallecano B conceded in 77% of 35 recent games.

RC Alcobendas went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

RC Alcobendas VS Rayo Vallecano B
1.83 Goals Scored 0.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
83% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
33% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

RC Alcobendas

(Home)
07 Oct
CD Las Rozas
3 : 0
RC Alcobendas
04 Oct
RC Alcobendas
4 : 2
Rayo Vallecano B
20 Sept
RC Alcobendas
1 : 1
Real Aranjuez
12 Sept
Pozuelo de Alarcon
1 : 1
RC Alcobendas
06 Sept
RC Alcobendas
5 : 2
CP Parla Escuela

Rayo Vallecano B

(Away)
04 Oct
RC Alcobendas
4 : 2
Rayo Vallecano B
27 Sept
Rayo Vallecano B
1 : 2
Galapagar
19 Sept
Leganes B
4 : 1
Rayo Vallecano B
13 Sept
Rayo Vallecano B
2 : 3
Cala Pozuelo
06 Sept
CD Mostoles
0 : 0
Rayo Vallecano B
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colonia Moscardo 5 3 2 0 14:5 11
2 Trival Valderas 5 3 2 0 8:4 11
3 CD Mostoles 5 3 2 0 6:2 11
4 CD Las Rozas 5 3 1 1 11:6 10
5 Cala Pozuelo 5 3 0 2 8:7 9
6 RC Alcobendas 5 2 2 1 11:9 8
7 Galapagar 5 2 2 1 10:8 8
8 CF Fuenlabrada 5 2 2 1 7:6 8
9 Leganes B 5 2 1 2 9:6 7
10 AD Torrejon 5 2 0 3 6:5 6
11 Union Adarve 5 1 3 1 6:8 6
12 Pozuelo de Alarcon 5 1 3 1 7:10 6
13 CP Parla Escuela 5 1 2 2 7:8 5
14 Mexico 5 1 2 2 4:5 5
15 Real Aranjuez 5 1 1 3 9:13 4
16 San Sebastian Reyes B 5 1 0 4 7:13 3
17 Siello 5 1 0 4 5:13 3
18 Rayo Vallecano B 5 0 1 4 6:13 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 (Play Offs)