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RC Alcobendas vs Real Aranjuez - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Our Tip

Match Events

75' Event
Moreno R.
80' Event
Kheribi N.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 7 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
RC Alcobendas
30%
Draws
23%
Real Aranjuez
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: RC Alcobendas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Real Aranjuez have won more games recently than RC Alcobendas.
  • RC Alcobendas are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 41.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
RC Alcobendas Clean Sheet 20%
Real Aranjuez Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric RC Alcobendas Real Aranjuez
Matches Played 5 28
Wins 2 3
Draws 2 4
Losses 1 21
Goals Scored 2.2 0.79
Goals Conceded 1.8 2.39
Expected Goals (xG) 2.54 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
RC Alcobendas vs Real Aranjuez
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

RC Alcobendas Compare

Avg xG / game 1.95
Avg xA / game 1.27

Real Aranjuez Compare

Top Goalscorer Moreno R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

RC Alcobendas 58 / 100
Real Aranjuez 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
RC Alcobendas Real Aranjuez

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RC Alcobendas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

RC Alcobendas's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 5 recent games.

Real Aranjuez has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: RC Alcobendas stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

RC Alcobendas VS Real Aranjuez
1.83 Goals Scored 0.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 3.25
83% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
33% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

RC Alcobendas

(Home)
07 Oct
CD Las Rozas
3 : 0
RC Alcobendas
04 Oct
RC Alcobendas
4 : 2
Rayo Vallecano B
20 Sept
RC Alcobendas
1 : 1
Real Aranjuez
12 Sept
Pozuelo de Alarcon
1 : 1
RC Alcobendas
06 Sept
RC Alcobendas
5 : 2
CP Parla Escuela

Real Aranjuez

(Away)
04 Oct
San Sebastian Reyes B
3 : 5
Real Aranjuez
26 Sept
Real Aranjuez
1 : 2
Trival Valderas
20 Sept
RC Alcobendas
1 : 1
Real Aranjuez
12 Sept
Real Aranjuez
2 : 5
Galapagar
06 Sept
Leganes B
2 : 0
Real Aranjuez
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colonia Moscardo 6 3 3 0 15:6 12
2 Cala Pozuelo 6 4 0 2 10:8 12
3 Trival Valderas 5 3 2 0 8:4 11
4 CD Mostoles 5 3 2 0 6:2 11
5 CD Las Rozas 5 3 1 1 11:6 10
6 Galapagar 5 2 2 1 10:8 8
7 RC Alcobendas 6 2 2 2 12:11 8
8 CF Fuenlabrada 5 2 2 1 7:6 8
9 Leganes B 5 2 1 2 9:6 7
10 AD Torrejon 5 2 0 3 6:5 6
11 Union Adarve 5 1 3 1 6:8 6
12 Pozuelo de Alarcon 5 1 3 1 7:10 6
13 CP Parla Escuela 5 1 2 2 7:8 5
14 Mexico 5 1 2 2 4:5 5
15 Real Aranjuez 6 1 2 3 10:14 5
16 San Sebastian Reyes B 5 1 0 4 7:13 3
17 Siello 5 1 0 4 5:13 3
18 Rayo Vallecano B 5 0 1 4 6:13 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 (Play Offs)