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RC Riviere-Pilote vs Morne des Esses - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Martinique Martinique

Trophee Gerard Janvion
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
12:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

RC Riviere-Pilote host Morne des Esses in the Trophee Gerard Janvion. This has Morne des Esses written all over it on paper. Morne des Esses have shipped 1.62 goals a game lately, while RC Riviere-Pilote have conceded 1.97 and scored 0.83. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. The numbers (1.20 xG vs 1.00) point toward Morne des Esses. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
RC Riviere-Pilote
35%
Draws
45%
Morne des Esses
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Morne des Esses

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • RC Riviere-Pilote haven't matched Morne des Esses's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
RC Riviere-Pilote Clean Sheet 20%
Morne des Esses Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric RC Riviere-Pilote Morne des Esses
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 5 9
Draws 6 7
Losses 18 13
Goals Scored 0.83 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

RC Riviere-Pilote 32 / 100
Morne des Esses 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
RC Riviere-Pilote Morne des Esses

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Morne des Esses Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

RC Riviere-Pilote's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Morne des Esses's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Solid form: RC Riviere-Pilote remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Morne des Esses's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

RC Riviere-Pilote VS Morne des Esses
0.5 Goals Scored 0.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

RC Riviere-Pilote

(Home)
10 Oct
Club Colonial
1 : 1
RC Riviere-Pilote
12 Sept
RC Riviere-Pilote
0 : 1
Golden Lion
05 Sept
Assaut
1 : 1
RC Riviere-Pilote
21 May
RC Saint Joseph
1 : 1
RC Riviere-Pilote
14 May
RC Riviere-Pilote
1 : 3
Diamantinoise
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Morne des Esses

(Away)
10 Oct
Morne des Esses
2 : 2
Trenelle
12 Sept
RC Lorrain
2 : 3
Morne des Esses
05 Sept
Morne des Esses
1 : 3
RC Saint Joseph
06 Jun
Franciscain
2 : 1
Morne des Esses
30 May
Morne des Esses
4 : 1
Golden Star
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Golden Lion 4 3 1 0 13:3 14
2 RC Saint Joseph 3 3 0 0 13:1 12
3 Franciscain 3 3 0 0 10:2 12
4 Inter de Sainte-Anne 3 2 0 1 3:1 9
5 Club Peleen 3 2 0 1 6:7 9
6 Assaut 3 1 1 1 7:7 7
7 Golden Star 3 1 1 1 2:2 7
8 Morne des Esses 3 1 1 1 6:7 7
9 Club Colonial 3 0 2 1 3:5 5
10 Samaritaine 3 0 2 1 4:5 5
11 RC Riviere-Pilote 3 0 2 1 2:3 5
12 Trenelle 3 0 2 1 4:8 5
13 Espoir 4 0 0 4 0:15 4
14 RC Lorrain 3 0 0 3 4:11 3
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