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RC Saint Joseph vs Samaritaine - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Martinique Martinique

Trophee Gerard Janvion
Sat, Nov 21, 2026
VS
12:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

RC Saint Joseph host Samaritaine in the Trophee Gerard Janvion. This one's hard to separate. RC Saint Joseph have averaged 2.53 scored and 0.43 conceded recently, against Samaritaine's 1.71 scored and 1.03 conceded. Head-to-head, RC Saint Joseph have won 2 to Samaritaine's 0, with 3 draws. They last met on Feb 7, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 2.50 vs 0.69, favoring RC Saint Joseph. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
RC Saint Joseph
30%
Draws
12%
Samaritaine
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: RC Saint Joseph

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • RC Saint Joseph have won more games recently than Samaritaine.
  • Model gives RC Saint Joseph a 58% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Trophee Gerard Janvion form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
RC Saint Joseph Clean Sheet 20%
Samaritaine Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric RC Saint Joseph Samaritaine
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 23 12
Draws 6 10
Losses 1 9
Goals Scored 2.53 1.71
Goals Conceded 0.43 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2026 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Samaritaine vs RC Saint Joseph
1:1
Jan 17, 2026 Trophee Gerard Janvion
RC Saint Joseph vs Samaritaine
0:0
May 10, 2025 Trophee Gerard Janvion
RC Saint Joseph vs Samaritaine
1:1
Feb 27, 2025 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Samaritaine vs RC Saint Joseph
0:2
Nov 16, 2024 Coupe de France
Samaritaine vs RC Saint Joseph
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

RC Saint Joseph 85 / 100
Samaritaine 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
RC Saint Joseph Samaritaine

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RC Saint Joseph Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

RC Saint Joseph scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

Solid form: RC Saint Joseph remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Samaritaine conceded in 61% of 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Scoring Trends

RC Saint Joseph VS Samaritaine
3.13 Goals Scored 1.25
0.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

RC Saint Joseph

(Home)
10 Oct
Espoir
0 : 4
RC Saint Joseph
12 Sept
RC Saint Joseph
6 : 0
Club Peleen
05 Sept
Morne des Esses
1 : 3
RC Saint Joseph
06 Jun
Golden Lion
0 : 1
RC Saint Joseph
30 May
RC Saint Joseph
6 : 0
Emulation
Page 1 of 6

Samaritaine

(Away)
17 Oct
Samaritaine
0 : 0
Franciscain
10 Oct
Golden Star
1 : 0
Samaritaine
12 Sept
Samaritaine
2 : 2
Club Colonial
05 Sept
Golden Lion
2 : 2
Samaritaine
06 Jun
Samaritaine
1 : 4
Aiglon Lamentin
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Golden Lion 4 3 1 0 13:3 14
2 Franciscain 4 3 1 0 10:2 14
3 RC Saint Joseph 3 3 0 0 13:1 12
4 Inter de Sainte-Anne 3 2 0 1 3:1 9
5 Club Peleen 3 2 0 1 6:7 9
6 Assaut 3 1 1 1 7:7 7
7 Golden Star 3 1 1 1 2:2 7
8 Morne des Esses 3 1 1 1 6:7 7
9 Samaritaine 4 0 3 1 4:5 7
10 RC Riviere-Pilote 3 0 2 1 2:3 5
11 Club Colonial 3 0 2 1 3:5 5
12 Trenelle 3 0 2 1 4:8 5
13 Espoir 4 0 0 4 0:15 4
14 RC Lorrain 3 0 0 3 4:11 3
Promotion - CONCACAF Caribbean Cup (Main)