Sport Picks

England

EFL Cup 2025/2026 Select Car Leasing Stadium, Reading

Reading

2 - 1

AFC Wimbledon

Our Tip

Match Events

24'

Fraser L.

Assist: Doyle K.

26'

Bugiel O.

Assist: Reeves J.

46'

Sub

Lane P. In: Camara M.

Out: Lane P.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Reading in this EFL Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%

Reading

39%

Draws

31%

AFC Wimbledon

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

AFC Wimbledon haven't matched Reading's recent run of results.
Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
Reading have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor AFC Wimbledon, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%

Reading Clean Sheet 68%

AFC Wimbledon Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Reading	AFC Wimbledon
Matches Played	28	28
Wins	11	9
Draws	8	5
Losses	9	14
Goals Scored	0.63	0.5
Goals Conceded	1.25	1.88
Expected Goals (xG)	0.63	0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2026 League One

AFC Wimbledon vs Reading

3:2

Aug 26, 2025 EFL Cup

Reading vs AFC Wimbledon

2:1

Aug 16, 2025 League One

Reading vs AFC Wimbledon

1:2

Jul 8, 2023 Club Friendly

Reading vs AFC Wimbledon

0:1

Jul 19, 2022 Club Friendly

AFC Wimbledon vs Reading

0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Reading Compare

Top Goalscorer Fraser L.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Camara M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.48

Avg xA / game 0.32

AFC Wimbledon Compare

Top Goalscorer Bugiel O.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.45

Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Reading 41 / 100

AFC Wimbledon 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Reading AFC Wimbledon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick REA Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Reading's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

AFC Wimbledon let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Reading remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Reading VS AFC Wimbledon

0.63 Goals Scored 0.5

1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88

50% Over 1.5 63%

38% Over 2.5 50%

13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Reading

(Home)

17 Jul

Getafe

1 : 0

Reading

11 Jul

Farnborough

1 : 2

Reading

02 May

Reading

0 : 1

Blackpool

25 Apr

Rotherham

1 : 1

Reading

18 Apr

Reading

1 : 3

Cardiff

Page 1 of 6

AFC Wimbledon

(Away)

22 Jul

AFC Wimbledon

0 : 0

Norwich

18 Jul

Sutton

1 : 2

AFC Wimbledon

02 May

AFC Wimbledon

0 : 4

Huddersfield

25 Apr

Wigan

0 : 1

AFC Wimbledon

18 Apr

AFC Wimbledon

1 : 3

Plymouth

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/64-finals

Barrow0

Preston1

Wrexham4

Hull City3

Portsmouth1

Reading2

Gillingham1

AFC Wimbledon2

Burnley-

TBD-

West Brom1

Derby2

Cardiff2

Swindon1

Cheltenham2

Exeter0

Wolves-

TBD-

West Ham-

Everton-

TBD-

Chesterfield0

Mansfield2

Tranmere1

Burton2

Harrogate1

Lincoln City3

TBD-

Chelsea-

Birmingham2

Sheffield Utd1

Blackpool0

Port Vale1

TBD-

Arsenal-

Barnsley3

Fleetwood Town2

Salford0

Rotherham1

Oxford Utd1

Colchester0

TBD-

Brighton-

Liverpool-

TBD-

Watford1

Norwich2

Northampton0

Southampton1

Crystal Palace-

TBD-

Newport0

Millwall1

Coventry1

Luton0

Newcastle Utd-

TBD-

Stoke City1

Walsall0

Blackburn1

Bradford City2

Tottenham-

TBD-

Accrington2

Peterborough1

Middlesbrough0

Doncaster4

Wigan1

Notts County0

Stockport County3

Crewe1

Bromley2

Ipswich1

Leyton Orient0

Wycombe1

Fulham-

TBD-

Bristol City2

Milton Keynes Dons0

Bristol Rovers0

Cambridge Utd2

Charlton3

Stevenage1

Swansea3

Crawley Town1

Plymouth3

QPR2

TBD-

Nottingham-

Sunderland-

TBD-

Huddersfield3

Leicester2

TBD-

Manchester City-

Bolton3

Sheffield Wed4

TBD-

Leeds-

Grimsby3

Shrewsbury1

TBD-

Manchester United-

Bournemouth-

TBD-

Brentford-

TBD-

Aston Villa-

1/32-finals

Preston2

Wrexham3

Reading2

AFC Wimbledon1

Burnley2

Derby1

Cardiff3

Cheltenham0

Wolves3

West Ham2

Everton2

Mansfield0

Burton0

Lincoln City1

TBD-

Chelsea-

Birmingham0

Port Vale1

TBD-

Arsenal-

Barnsley2

Rotherham1

Oxford Utd0

Brighton6

Liverpool-

TBD-

Norwich0

Southampton3

Crystal Palace-

TBD-

Millwall2

Coventry1

Newcastle Utd-

TBD-

Stoke City0

Bradford City3

Tottenham-

TBD-

Accrington0

Doncaster2

Wigan1

Stockport County0

Bromley1

Wycombe2

Fulham2

Bristol City0

Cambridge Utd3

Charlton1

Swansea2

Plymouth1

TBD-

Nottingham-

Sunderland1

Huddersfield2

TBD-

Manchester City-

Sheffield Wed2

Leeds1

Grimsby3

Manchester United2

Bournemouth0

Brentford2

TBD-

Aston Villa-

1/16-finals

Wrexham2

Reading0

Burnley1

Cardiff2

Wolves2

Everton0

Lincoln City1

Chelsea2

Port Vale0

Arsenal2

Barnsley0

Brighton6

Liverpool2

Southampton1

Crystal Palace2

Millwall1

Newcastle Utd4

Bradford City1

Tottenham3

Doncaster0

Wigan0

Wycombe2

Fulham1

Cambridge Utd0

Swansea3

Nottingham2

Huddersfield0

Manchester City2

Sheffield Wed0

Grimsby1

Brentford2

Aston Villa1

1/8-finals

Wrexham1

Cardiff2

Wolves3

Chelsea4

Arsenal2

Brighton0

Liverpool0

Crystal Palace3

Newcastle Utd2

Tottenham0

Wycombe1

Fulham2

Swansea1

Manchester City3

Grimsby0

Brentford5

Quarter-finals

Cardiff1

Chelsea3

Arsenal2

Crystal Palace1

Newcastle Utd2

Fulham1

Manchester City2

Brentford0

Semi-finals

Chelsea2

Arsenal4

Newcastle Utd1

Manchester City5

Final

Arsenal0

Manchester City2