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Real America vs Aurora

Bolivia Bolivia

Nacional B 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Nacional B 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Real America
15%
Draws
46%
Aurora
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aurora

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Real America haven't matched Aurora's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Real America's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Nacional B 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Real America Clean Sheet 19%
Aurora Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real America Aurora
Matches Played 6 30
Wins 3 12
Draws 1 12
Losses 2 6
Goals Scored 1.83 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2017 Copa Simon Bolivar
Real America vs Aurora
0:0
Mar 5, 2017 Copa Simon Bolivar
Aurora vs Real America
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real America 42 / 100
Aurora 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real America Aurora

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Real America scored in 67% of their last 6 outings.

Aurora's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Real America went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Games between these two average 0.50 goals.

Scoring Trends

- VS Aurora
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Real America

(Home)
06 May
Ciclon
2 : 4
Real America
29 Apr
Real America
0 : 0
Aurora
15 Apr
Real America
3 : 1
Fancesa
01 Apr
Fancesa
3 : 2
Real America
18 Mar
Real America
2 : 1
Ciclon
Page 1 of 2

Aurora

(Away)
25 Sept
Academia del Balompie
0 : 1
Aurora
19 Sept
Aurora
4 : 2
Club Universitario de Vinto
16 Sept
Guabira
3 : 1
Aurora
11 Sept
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
0 : 2
Aurora
08 Sept
Aurora
1 : 0
Real Potosi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Destroyers 8 5 3 0 16:6 18
2 Ramiro Castillo 8 3 4 1 14:10 13
3 Universitario Beni 8 4 0 4 15:13 12
4 Always Ready 8 2 2 4 6:14 8
5 Atletico Bermejo 8 1 1 6 7:15 4
Promotion - Nacional B 2016/2017 (Final Stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aurora 6 4 2 0 5:1 14
2 Real America 6 3 1 2 11:8 10
3 Fancesa 6 2 1 3 9:9 7
4 Ciclon 6 0 2 4 6:13 2
Promotion - Nacional B 2016/2017 (Final Stage)