Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Real Aranjuez vs Carabanchel

World World

Club Friendly 2022
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Melgares S.
49' Event
Ramos Toledo I.
64' Event
Alonso A.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2022 game between Real Aranjuez and Carabanchel finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Real Aranjuez.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Real Aranjuez
20%
Draws
70%
Carabanchel
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Carabanchel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Real Aranjuez haven't matched Carabanchel's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Carabanchel's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 20%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Real Aranjuez Clean Sheet 14%
Carabanchel Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Aranjuez Carabanchel
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 3 9
Draws 4 11
Losses 22 13
Goals Scored 0.72 0.76
Goals Conceded 2.38 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 0.72 1.59
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 3, 2022 Club Friendly
Real Aranjuez vs Carabanchel
3:1
Jan 24, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Carabanchel vs Real Aranjuez
2:2
Oct 25, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Real Aranjuez vs Carabanchel
1:1
May 1, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Carabanchel vs Real Aranjuez
2:2
Dec 15, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Real Aranjuez vs Carabanchel
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Real Aranjuez Compare

Top Goalscorer Melgares S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ramos Toledo I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.55
Avg xA / game 0.36

Carabanchel Compare

Top Goalscorer Alonso A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.88

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Aranjuez 10 / 100
Carabanchel 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Aranjuez Carabanchel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Carabanchel Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Carabanchel's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 33 matches.

Real Aranjuez found the back of the net in 52% of recent matches (29 games).

Real Aranjuez went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Real Aranjuez VS Carabanchel
0.8 Goals Scored 0.38
2.8 Goals Conceded 0.63
80% Over 1.5 13%
40% Over 2.5 13%
40% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Aranjuez

(Home)
20 Sept
RC Alcobendas
1 : 1
Real Aranjuez
12 Sept
Real Aranjuez
2 : 5
Galapagar
06 Sept
Leganes B
2 : 0
Real Aranjuez
02 Sept
Real Aranjuez
1 : 6
Alaves C
23 Apr
CDE Madrid
1 : 0
Real Aranjuez
Page 1 of 6

Carabanchel

(Away)
10 May
Siello
3 : 0
Carabanchel
03 May
Carabanchel
3 : 2
Pozuelo de Alarcon
25 Apr
Leganes B
0 : 1
Carabanchel
19 Apr
Carabanchel
0 : 1
Trival Valderas
12 Apr
AD Torrejon
1 : 1
Carabanchel
Page 1 of 7