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Real Aranjuez vs Colonia Moscardo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
02:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Real Aranjuez host Colonia Moscardo in the Tercera RFEF - Group 7. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Real Aranjuez have averaged 0.79 scored and 2.41 conceded recently, against Colonia Moscardo's 1.38 scored and 1.52 conceded. Past meetings favor Real Aranjuez slightly — 1-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 28, 2013, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.34 vs 1.67, favoring Colonia Moscardo. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Real Aranjuez
30%
Draws
51%
Colonia Moscardo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Colonia Moscardo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Colonia Moscardo lately — more wins on the board than Real Aranjuez.
  • Model gives Colonia Moscardo a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 21.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Real Aranjuez Clean Sheet 13%
Colonia Moscardo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Aranjuez Colonia Moscardo
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 3 9
Draws 4 7
Losses 22 13
Goals Scored 0.79 1.38
Goals Conceded 2.41 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.34 1.67
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 28, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Real Aranjuez vs Colonia Moscardo
1:0
Dec 9, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Colonia Moscardo vs Real Aranjuez
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Aranjuez 10 / 100
Colonia Moscardo 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Aranjuez Colonia Moscardo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Colonia Moscardo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Colonia Moscardo conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Real Aranjuez found the back of the net in 52% of recent matches (29 games).

Real Aranjuez has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Real Aranjuez VS Colonia Moscardo
1.43 Goals Scored 0.63
2.71 Goals Conceded 1.25
86% Over 1.5 63%
57% Over 2.5 38%
43% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Aranjuez

(Home)
04 Oct
San Sebastian Reyes B
3 : 5
Real Aranjuez
26 Sept
Real Aranjuez
1 : 2
Trival Valderas
20 Sept
RC Alcobendas
1 : 1
Real Aranjuez
12 Sept
Real Aranjuez
2 : 5
Galapagar
06 Sept
Leganes B
2 : 0
Real Aranjuez
Page 1 of 6

Colonia Moscardo

(Away)
04 Oct
Colonia Moscardo
5 : 1
Pozuelo de Alarcon
27 Sept
CP Parla Escuela
2 : 2
Colonia Moscardo
20 Sept
Colonia Moscardo
5 : 1
Siello
13 Sept
Union Adarve
1 : 1
Colonia Moscardo
06 Sept
Colonia Moscardo
1 : 0
AD Torrejon
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colonia Moscardo 5 3 2 0 14:5 11
2 Trival Valderas 5 3 2 0 8:4 11
3 CD Mostoles 5 3 2 0 6:2 11
4 CD Las Rozas 5 3 1 1 11:6 10
5 Cala Pozuelo 5 3 0 2 8:7 9
6 RC Alcobendas 5 2 2 1 11:9 8
7 Galapagar 5 2 2 1 10:8 8
8 CF Fuenlabrada 5 2 2 1 7:6 8
9 Leganes B 5 2 1 2 9:6 7
10 AD Torrejon 5 2 0 3 6:5 6
11 Union Adarve 5 1 3 1 6:8 6
12 Pozuelo de Alarcon 5 1 3 1 7:10 6
13 CP Parla Escuela 5 1 2 2 7:8 5
14 Mexico 5 1 2 2 4:5 5
15 Real Aranjuez 5 1 1 3 9:13 4
16 San Sebastian Reyes B 5 1 0 4 7:13 3
17 Siello 5 1 0 4 5:13 3
18 Rayo Vallecano B 5 0 1 4 6:13 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 (Play Offs)