Sport Picks
Real Aranjuez vs Trival Valderas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 7 
Match Events
46'
46'
Rivero A.
54'
54'
Bielo M.
69'
69'
Cuesta A.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 7 game between Real Aranjuez and Trival Valderas finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Trival Valderas.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
19%
30%
51%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Trival Valderas
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Trival Valderas come out ahead of Real Aranjuez on wins alone.
- Model gives Trival Valderas a 51% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Trival Valderas here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 74.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Real Aranjuez Clean Sheet 10%
Trival Valderas Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Real Aranjuez | Trival Valderas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 34 |
| Wins | 3 | 20 |
| Draws | 4 | 10 |
| Losses | 22 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 0.79 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.41 | 0.79 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.09 | 1.98 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 26, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Real Aranjuez vs Trival Valderas
1:2
Apr 6, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Real Aranjuez vs Trival Valderas
1:5
Dec 11, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Trival Valderas vs Real Aranjuez
0:0
Mar 28, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Trival Valderas vs Real Aranjuez
2:1
Feb 3, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Real Aranjuez vs Trival Valderas
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Real Aranjuez Compare
Top Goalscorer Cuesta A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.84
Avg xA / game 0.55
Trival Valderas Compare
Top Goalscorer Rivero A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Bielo M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.8
Avg xA / game 1.1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Real Aranjuez 14 / 100
Trival Valderas 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Real Aranjuez Trival Valderas
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Trival Valderas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.
Real Aranjuez scored in 52% of their last 29 games.
Defensive concern: Trival Valderas conceded in 59% of 34 recent games.
Recent resilience: Real Aranjuez stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Real Aranjuez VS Trival Valderas
1.43 Goals Scored 1.25
2.71 Goals Conceded 0.75
86% Over 1.5 63%
57% Over 2.5 25%
43% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Real Aranjuez
(Home) 04 Oct
San Sebastian Reyes B
3 : 5 Real Aranjuez
26 Sept
Real Aranjuez
1 : 2 Trival Valderas
20 Sept
RC Alcobendas
1 : 1 Real Aranjuez
12 Sept
Real Aranjuez
2 : 5 Galapagar
06 Sept
Leganes B
2 : 0 Real Aranjuez
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Real Aranjuez
1 : 2 Trival Valderas
12 Sept
Real Aranjuez
2 : 5 Galapagar
02 Sept
Real Aranjuez
1 : 6 Alaves C
16 Apr
Real Aranjuez
0 : 3 RSC Internacional
06 Apr
Real Aranjuez
1 : 5 Trival Valderas
Page 1 of 3
Trival Valderas
(Away) 04 Oct
Trival Valderas
2 : 1 CD Las Rozas
26 Sept
Real Aranjuez
1 : 2 Trival Valderas
20 Sept
Trival Valderas
1 : 1 Pozuelo de Alarcon
13 Sept
CP Parla Escuela
0 : 0 Trival Valderas
06 Sept
Trival Valderas
3 : 1 Siello
Page 1 of 7
26 Sept
Real Aranjuez
1 : 2 Trival Valderas
13 Sept
CP Parla Escuela
0 : 0 Trival Valderas
20 Jun
La Nucia
1 : 0 Trival Valderas
31 May
CD Las Rozas
1 : 1 Trival Valderas
17 May
Leganes B
0 : 1 Trival Valderas
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colonia Moscardo | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 14:5 | 11 |
| 2 | Trival Valderas | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8:4 | 11 |
| 3 | CD Mostoles | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6:2 | 11 |
| 4 | CD Las Rozas | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11:6 | 10 |
| 5 | Cala Pozuelo | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8:7 | 9 |
| 6 | RC Alcobendas | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 11:9 | 8 |
| 7 | Galapagar | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10:8 | 8 |
| 8 | CF Fuenlabrada | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7:6 | 8 |
| 9 | Leganes B | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9:6 | 7 |
| 10 | AD Torrejon | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6:5 | 6 |
| 11 | Union Adarve | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6:8 | 6 |
| 12 | Pozuelo de Alarcon | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7:10 | 6 |
| 13 | CP Parla Escuela | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:8 | 5 |
| 14 | Mexico | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:5 | 5 |
| 15 | Real Aranjuez | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9:13 | 4 |
| 16 | San Sebastian Reyes B | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7:13 | 3 |
| 17 | Siello | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5:13 | 3 |
| 18 | Rayo Vallecano B | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6:13 | 1 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 (Play Offs)
