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Real Ariquemes vs CA Rondoniense

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Rondoniense 2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-2, with Real Ariquemes advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Real Ariquemes
30%
Draws
34%
CA Rondoniense
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Real Ariquemes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • CA Rondoniense carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Real Ariquemes taking it.
  • CA Rondoniense arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Real Ariquemes, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Real Ariquemes have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
Real Ariquemes Clean Sheet 20%
CA Rondoniense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Ariquemes CA Rondoniense
Matches Played 20 30
Wins 4 7
Draws 4 6
Losses 12 17
Goals Scored 0 1
Goals Conceded 0 1.5

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 1, 2023 Rondoniense
CA Rondoniense vs Real Ariquemes
0:3
Mar 12, 2022 Rondoniense
Real Ariquemes vs CA Rondoniense
3:1
May 9, 2021 Rondoniense
Real Ariquemes vs CA Rondoniense
1:0
Apr 28, 2021 Rondoniense
CA Rondoniense vs Real Ariquemes
0:1
Mar 15, 2020 Rondoniense
Real Ariquemes vs CA Rondoniense
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Ariquemes 36 / 100
CA Rondoniense 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Ariquemes CA Rondoniense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CA Rondoniense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Real Ariquemes scored in 35% of their last 20 games.

Real Ariquemes has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Real Ariquemes VS CA Rondoniense
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Ariquemes

(Home)
23 Jul
Real Ariquemes
0 : 8
Anapolis
15 Jul
Operario VG
9 : 0
Real Ariquemes
09 Jul
Real Ariquemes
0 : 7
Ceilandia
02 Jul
Brasiliense
5 : 1
Real Ariquemes
25 Jun
Real Ariquemes
0 : 0
Interporto
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CA Rondoniense

(Away)
28 Mar
Guapore
0 : 0
CA Rondoniense
21 Mar
CA Rondoniense
0 : 1
Guapore
18 Mar
Ji-Parana
0 : 1
CA Rondoniense
15 Mar
CA Rondoniense
1 : 1
Ji-Parana
12 Mar
Guapore
2 : 2
CA Rondoniense
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Barcelona RO3
Vilhenense2
CA Rondoniense2
Real Ariquemes4
Final
Barcelona RO1
Real Ariquemes2