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Real Ariquemes vs Genus

Brazil Brazil

Rondoniense 2024
Sun, Mar 31, 2024
VS
07:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Real Ariquemes host Genus in the Rondoniense 2024. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Real Ariquemes at 0.44 goals for, 2.61 against; Genus at 1.03 for, 1.35 against. Head-to-head, Real Ariquemes have won 1 to Genus's 0, with 4 draws. They last met on Mar 31, 2024, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.17 - 1.18) back Genus to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Real Ariquemes
20%
Draws
70%
Genus
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Genus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

10% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Genus lately — more wins on the board than Real Ariquemes.
  • 10% — that's where the model lands on Real Ariquemes taking it.
  • Regular Rondoniense 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Real Ariquemes Clean Sheet 20%
Genus Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Ariquemes Genus
Matches Played 18 31
Wins 2 7
Draws 4 8
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 0.44 1.03
Goals Conceded 2.61 1.35
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 31, 2024 Rondoniense
Real Ariquemes vs Genus
0:0
Feb 25, 2024 Rondoniense
Genus vs Real Ariquemes
0:0
Mar 5, 2023 Rondoniense
Genus vs Real Ariquemes
0:3
Apr 10, 2022 Rondoniense
Real Ariquemes vs Genus
0:0
Apr 3, 2022 Rondoniense
Genus vs Real Ariquemes
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Ariquemes 49 / 100
Genus 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Ariquemes Genus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Real Ariquemes Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Genus conceded in 74% of 31 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Real Ariquemes scored in 28% of their last 18 outings.

H2H data points to 0.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Real Ariquemes stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Genus
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Ariquemes

(Home)
23 Jul
Real Ariquemes
0 : 8
Anapolis
15 Jul
Operario VG
9 : 0
Real Ariquemes
09 Jul
Real Ariquemes
0 : 7
Ceilandia
02 Jul
Brasiliense
5 : 1
Real Ariquemes
25 Jun
Real Ariquemes
0 : 0
Interporto
Page 1 of 4

Genus

(Away)
12 Mar
Ji-Parana
3 : 0
Genus
28 Feb
Genus
2 : 0
Barcelona RO
25 Feb
Uniao Cacoalense
1 : 2
Genus
22 Feb
Guapore
3 : 1
Genus
15 Feb
Genus
0 : 0
CA Rondoniense
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Porto Velho 10 7 1 2 20:9 22
2 Barcelona RO 10 4 4 2 14:9 16
3 Uniao Cacoalense 10 3 4 3 7:6 13
4 Vilhena 10 3 4 3 12:14 13
5 Ji-Parana 10 3 2 5 6:12 11
6 Genus 10 1 3 6 9:18 6
7 Real Ariquemes 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Rondoniense 2024 (Play Offs)