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Real Avila vs CD Cebrerena Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera Division - Group 8 2020/2021
Real Avila Logo

Real Avila

1 - 3
FT
CD Cebrerena Logo

CD Cebrerena

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

CD Cebrerena in this Tercera Division - Group 8 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored CD Cebrerena.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Real Avila
15%
Draws
53%
CD Cebrerena
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CD Cebrerena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Real Avila have won more games recently than CD Cebrerena.
  • 53% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Real Avila Clean Sheet 20%
CD Cebrerena Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Avila CD Cebrerena
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 13 9
Draws 3 7
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 1.39 1
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Real Avila vs CD Cebrerena
1:3
Dec 20, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
CD Cebrerena vs Real Avila
0:1
Mar 31, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Real Avila vs CD Cebrerena
2:1
Nov 11, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
CD Cebrerena vs Real Avila
3:2
Jan 21, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
CD Cebrerena vs Real Avila
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Avila 32 / 100
CD Cebrerena 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Avila CD Cebrerena

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Cebrerena Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Avila's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

CD Cebrerena's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Real Avila has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Real Avila VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Avila

(Home)
04 Oct
San Sebastian Reyes
3 : 0
Real Avila
27 Sept
Real Avila
1 : 0
Getafe B
20 Sept
Real Avila
2 : 1
Puertollano C.F.
13 Sept
Navalcarnero
2 : 1
Real Avila
05 Sept
Atl. Madrid C
2 : 1
Real Avila
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CD Cebrerena

(Away)
20 Jun
Santa Marta Tormes
1 : 1
CD Cebrerena
13 Jun
CD Cebrerena
2 : 0
Penaranda de Bracamonte
06 Jun
Becerril
0 : 1
CD Cebrerena
23 May
La Baneza
0 : 1
CD Cebrerena
16 May
CD Cebrerena
0 : 1
Salamanca CF UDS B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palencia CA 20 14 2 4 29:11 44
2 Atletico Astorga 20 10 5 5 26:11 35
3 Leonesa B 20 9 8 3 25:18 35
4 La Virgen 20 8 7 5 22:18 31
5 Atletico Tordesillas 20 7 5 8 21:22 26
6 Bembibre 20 6 8 6 17:20 26
7 La Baneza 20 6 7 7 23:23 25
8 Salamanca CF UDS B 20 4 10 6 17:26 22
9 Santa Marta Tormes 20 5 6 9 14:17 21
10 Penaranda de Bracamonte 20 4 4 12 13:28 16
11 Becerril 20 3 6 11 10:23 15
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 8 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 8 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 8 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gimnastica Segoviana 22 18 3 1 54:10 57
2 Burgos CF B 22 11 7 4 33:15 40
3 Numancia B 22 12 3 7 40:34 39
4 Arandina 22 10 6 6 41:31 36
5 Mirandes B 22 8 9 5 30:21 33
6 Real Avila 22 9 4 9 25:23 31
7 Almazan 22 9 4 9 26:31 31
8 Colegios Diocesanos 22 7 2 13 19:42 23
9 La Granja 22 6 4 12 24:30 22
10 Real Burgos CF 22 4 7 11 18:37 19
11 CD Cebrerena 22 5 4 13 18:36 19
12 Bupolsa 22 4 5 13 17:35 17
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 8 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 8 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 8 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)