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Real Avila vs Langreo

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Gonzalez B.
41' Event
Carrion A.
90' Event
Perez Lopez J.

AI Match Summary

The Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 game between Real Avila and Langreo finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Langreo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Real Avila
15%
Draws
46%
Langreo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Langreo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Langreo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Real Avila a 39% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Real Avila Clean Sheet 68%
Langreo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Avila Langreo
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 11 15
Draws 4 7
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.46 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Real Avila vs Langreo
1:2
Sep 20, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Langreo vs Real Avila
1:2
Jan 19, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Langreo vs Real Avila
0:1
Sep 8, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Real Avila vs Langreo
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Real Avila Compare

Top Goalscorer Carrion A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Langreo Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonzalez B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Perez Lopez J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Avila 86 / 100
Langreo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Avila Langreo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Real Avila Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Avila found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Langreo conceded in 77% of 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.75 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Real Avila stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Real Avila VS Langreo
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Avila

(Home)
13 Sept
Navalcarnero
2 : 1
Real Avila
05 Sept
Atl. Madrid C
2 : 1
Real Avila
29 Aug
RSD Alcala
2 : 1
Real Avila
22 Aug
Real Avila
4 : 0
Pozuelo de Alarcon
12 Aug
Atletico Tordesillas
0 : 2
Real Avila
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Langreo

(Away)
13 Sept
Langreo
2 : 2
Covadonga
06 Sept
Union Club Ceares
2 : 1
Langreo
11 Aug
Marino De Luanco
6 : 1
Langreo
08 Aug
Llanes
2 : 3
Langreo
05 Aug
L Entregu CF
0 : 1
Langreo
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Deportivo Fabril 34 20 9 5 59:22 69
2 Real Oviedo B 34 16 10 8 50:35 58
3 Numancia 34 15 11 8 46:31 56
4 UD Ourense 34 15 10 9 40:34 55
5 Coruxo FC 34 15 7 12 46:37 52
6 Gimnastica Segoviana 34 14 9 11 37:36 51
7 Real Avila 34 14 8 12 48:52 50
8 Salamanca CF UDS 34 14 8 12 43:36 50
9 Rayo Cantabria 34 11 15 8 63:50 48
10 Bergantinos 34 13 9 12 44:37 48
11 Atletico Astorga 34 12 9 13 41:43 45
12 Marino De Luanco 34 11 12 11 31:26 45
13 Valladolid Promesas 34 12 9 13 59:58 45
14 Langreo 34 11 10 13 35:41 43
15 Sarriana 34 11 7 16 42:42 40
16 Burgos CF B 34 8 12 14 38:55 36
17 Lealtad 34 7 7 20 31:54 28
18 UD Samano 34 3 6 25 23:87 15
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)