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Real Avila vs Racing Lermeno

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 8 2012/2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera Division - Group 8 2012/2013 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Real Avila
15%
Draws
28%
Racing Lermeno
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Real Avila

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Real Avila have won more games recently than Racing Lermeno.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Real Avila taking it.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 8 2012/2013 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Real Avila Clean Sheet 20%
Racing Lermeno Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Avila Racing Lermeno
Matches Played 35 31
Wins 18 3
Draws 3 8
Losses 14 20
Goals Scored 1.46 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Racing Lermeno vs Real Avila
0:2
Nov 3, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Real Avila vs Racing Lermeno
2:0
Apr 21, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Real Avila vs Racing Lermeno
1:1
Nov 25, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Racing Lermeno vs Real Avila
2:1
Feb 12, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Racing Lermeno vs Real Avila
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Avila 85 / 100
Racing Lermeno 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Avila Racing Lermeno

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Real Avila Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Avila scored in 83% of their last 35 games.

Racing Lermeno's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Racing Lermeno's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Real Avila VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Avila

(Home)
27 Sept
Real Avila
1 : 0
Getafe B
20 Sept
Real Avila
2 : 1
Puertollano C.F.
13 Sept
Navalcarnero
2 : 1
Real Avila
05 Sept
Atl. Madrid C
2 : 1
Real Avila
29 Aug
RSD Alcala
2 : 1
Real Avila
Page 1 of 7

Racing Lermeno

(Away)
11 May
Racing Lermeno
3 : 2
CD Cebrerena
04 May
Unami CP
2 : 0
Racing Lermeno
01 May
Bupolsa
2 : 1
Racing Lermeno
27 Apr
Racing Lermeno
0 : 2
Becerril
23 Apr
Valladolid Promesas
5 : 1
Racing Lermeno
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Burgos CF 38 28 6 4 80:19 90
2 Leonesa 38 25 7 6 70:25 82
3 Arandina 38 25 7 6 66:22 82
4 Gimnastica Segoviana 38 24 3 11 80:38 75
5 Valladolid Promesas 38 22 7 9 68:25 73
6 La Granja 38 20 9 9 50:36 69
7 Atletico Astorga 38 20 8 10 60:41 68
8 Bembibre 38 16 11 11 55:43 59
9 La Virgen 38 16 9 13 51:51 57
10 Real Avila 38 16 7 15 47:46 55
11 Numancia B 38 15 8 15 51:56 53
12 Palencia CA 38 11 10 17 36:47 43
13 Almazan 38 11 10 17 36:55 43
14 Unami CP 38 11 5 22 39:67 38
15 UD Salamanca (Inactive) B 38 8 12 18 27:48 36
16 Racing Lermeno 38 8 10 20 35:64 34
17 Santa Marta Tormes 38 7 11 20 25:50 32
18 Palencia CF 38 9 5 24 32:67 32
19 Villaralbo 38 9 5 24 24:65 32
20 Cuellar Balompie 38 1 6 31 20:87 9
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)