Sport Picks
Real Aviles vs Ourense CF
Spain
Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 Estadio Roman Suarez Puerta, Avilés 
Match Events
13'
13'
Ochoa M.
25'
25'
Bari Q.
28'
28'
Coto E.
AI Match Summary
The Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 game between Real Aviles and Ourense CF finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Real Aviles.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
35%
35%
30%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Ourense CF carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Real Aviles a 35% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- Ourense CF have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38.400000000000006%
Real Aviles Clean Sheet 68%
Ourense CF Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Real Aviles | Ourense CF |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 6 | 9 |
| Draws | 12 | 7 |
| Losses | 12 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.3 | 1.31 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.73 | 1.34 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.35 | 1.51 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 5, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Real Aviles vs Ourense CF
2:1
Jan 3, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Ourense CF vs Real Aviles
2:1
May 5, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Real Aviles vs Ourense CF
0:2
Jan 6, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Ourense CF vs Real Aviles
2:0
Apr 22, 2023 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Real Aviles vs Ourense CF
0:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Real Aviles Compare
Top Goalscorer Uzkudun A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Bari Q.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68
Ourense CF Compare
Top Goalscorer Ochoa M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.37
Avg xA / game 0.84
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Real Aviles 59 / 100
Ourense CF 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Real Aviles Ourense CF
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Real Aviles Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Real Aviles scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.
Ourense CF let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.
Real Aviles went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Real Aviles VS Ourense CF
1.13 Goals Scored 1.14
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.57
75% Over 1.5 71%
63% Over 2.5 71%
63% Over 3.5 29%
Recent Form & Match History
Real Aviles
(Home) 15 Aug
CD Mosconia
0 : 2 Real Aviles
13 Aug
Racing Club Ferrol
1 : 1 Real Aviles
08 Aug
Rayo Cantabria
2 : 1 Real Aviles
05 Aug
Leonesa
1 : 1 Real Aviles
01 Aug
Ponferradina
1 : 1 Real Aviles
Page 1 of 6
17 May
Real Aviles
1 : 4 Barakaldo
02 May
Real Aviles
2 : 2 Guadalajara
18 Apr
Real Aviles
1 : 1 Unionistas de Salamanca
05 Apr
Real Aviles
2 : 1 Ourense CF
22 Mar
Real Aviles
1 : 1 Cacereno
Page 1 of 3
Ourense CF
(Away) 15 Aug
Pontevedra
2 : 1 Ourense CF
23 May
Ourense CF
2 : 1 Tenerife
17 May
CF Talavera
0 : 0 Ourense CF
10 May
Ourense CF
2 : 4 Celta Vigo B
03 May
Ath Bilbao B
2 : 2 Ourense CF
Page 1 of 6
15 Aug
Pontevedra
2 : 1 Ourense CF
17 May
CF Talavera
0 : 0 Ourense CF
03 May
Ath Bilbao B
2 : 2 Ourense CF
14 Apr
Real Madrid B
1 : 1 Ourense CF
05 Apr
Real Aviles
2 : 1 Ourense CF
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tenerife | 38 | 22 | 10 | 6 | 62:24 | 76 |
| 2 | Celta Vigo B | 38 | 18 | 11 | 9 | 61:48 | 65 |
| 3 | Zamora | 38 | 17 | 10 | 11 | 53:42 | 61 |
| 4 | Ponferradina | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 43:33 | 60 |
| 5 | Real Madrid B | 38 | 16 | 10 | 12 | 61:52 | 58 |
| 6 | Pontevedra | 38 | 14 | 16 | 8 | 49:31 | 58 |
| 7 | Barakaldo | 38 | 15 | 13 | 10 | 51:38 | 58 |
| 8 | Unionistas de Salamanca | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 53:49 | 56 |
| 9 | Lugo | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36:40 | 53 |
| 10 | AD Merida | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 47:53 | 52 |
| 11 | Arenas Getxo | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 46:55 | 52 |
| 12 | Racing Club Ferrol | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 41:47 | 49 |
| 13 | Ath Bilbao B | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 38:46 | 49 |
| 14 | Real Aviles | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 55:67 | 44 |
| 15 | Cacereno | 38 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 42:49 | 44 |
| 16 | CF Talavera | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 38:47 | 43 |
| 17 | Ourense CF | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 44:47 | 43 |
| 18 | Guadalajara | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 44:58 | 41 |
| 19 | Osasuna B | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 28:42 | 40 |
| 20 | Arenteiro | 38 | 6 | 10 | 22 | 29:53 | 28 |
Promotion - LaLiga2 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
