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Real Bamako vs Derby Academie

Mali Mali

Premiere Division Stade Modibo Kéïta
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Premiere Division game between Real Bamako and Derby Academie finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Real Bamako.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Real Bamako
6%
Draws
4%
Derby Academie
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Real Bamako

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Real Bamako carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Real Bamako taking it.
  • Regular Premiere Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Real Bamako Clean Sheet 68%
Derby Academie Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Bamako Derby Academie
Matches Played 30 26
Wins 17 5
Draws 7 14
Losses 6 7
Goals Scored 0.88 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.75 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2026 Premiere Division
Real Bamako vs Derby Academie
1:0
Jan 16, 2026 Premiere Division
Derby Academie vs Real Bamako
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Bamako 95 / 100
Derby Academie 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Bamako Derby Academie

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick REA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Real Bamako scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Derby Academie conceded in 62% of 26 recent games.

Real Bamako went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Away concern: Derby Academie has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Real Bamako VS Derby Academie
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
38% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Djoliba26185341:1259
2Stade Malien26148428:1550
3Real Bamako26147532:1449
4Diarra26135832:2444
5Binga26127728:1543
6USFAS Bamako26126837:2742
7Korofina26961128:3133
8Bougouba26871121:3431
9Derby Academie26514719:2229
10Bakaridjan26691120:2727
11Foot Elite26761323:3827
12Onze Createurs26681216:2426
13Mali Coura26481420:3120
14US Bougouni26441812:4316