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Real Bedford vs Stourbridge - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Southern League Premier Central
Tue, Oct 27, 2026
VS
07:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Real Bedford host Stourbridge in the Southern League Premier Central. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Real Bedford have averaged 3 scored and 1.66 conceded recently, against Stourbridge's 1.5 scored and 1.61 conceded. Head-to-head, Real Bedford have won 2 to Stourbridge's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Sep 22, 2026, ending 1:4. Model xG sits at 1.88 vs 1.44, favoring Real Bedford. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Real Bedford
30%
Draws
33%
Stourbridge
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Real Bedford

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Real Bedford have won more games recently than Stourbridge.
  • Model gives Real Bedford a 37% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Southern League Premier Central form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Real Bedford have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Real Bedford Clean Sheet 16%
Stourbridge Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Bedford Stourbridge
Matches Played 32 28
Wins 22 11
Draws 4 7
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 3 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 22, 2026 Southern League Premier Central
Stourbridge vs Real Bedford
1:4
Feb 21, 2026 Southern League Premier Central
Stourbridge vs Real Bedford
2:1
Oct 21, 2025 Southern League Premier Central
Real Bedford vs Stourbridge
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Bedford 39 / 100
Stourbridge 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Bedford Stourbridge

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Real Bedford Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Bedford scored in 94% of their last 32 games.

Stourbridge has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Real Bedford went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Real Bedford VS Stourbridge
2.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Bedford

(Home)
20 Oct
Real Bedford
2 : 2
Bury Town
17 Oct
Stamford
0 : 4
Real Bedford
10 Oct
Real Bedford
1 : 1
Bromsgrove
03 Oct
Chesham
4 : 3
Real Bedford
29 Sept
Real Bedford
3 : 2
Leiston
Page 1 of 7

Stourbridge

(Away)
17 Oct
Bury Town
2 : 0
Stourbridge
13 Oct
Worcester
1 : 3
Stourbridge
10 Oct
Stourbridge
2 : 1
Leighton Town
03 Oct
Stourbridge
0 : 1
Racing Club Warwick
29 Sept
Alvechurch
0 : 0
Stourbridge
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Bedford 12 10 2 0 36:13 32
2 Bury Town 13 10 1 2 23:15 31
3 Bromsgrove 12 8 3 1 21:11 27
4 Rushall 14 9 0 5 30:21 27
5 Needham Market 13 7 2 4 28:19 23
6 Peterborough Sports 13 6 5 2 25:18 23
7 Kettering 12 6 4 2 22:9 22
8 Alvechurch 11 6 3 2 18:6 21
9 Anstey Nomads 11 5 4 2 20:16 19
10 Racing Club Warwick 13 4 5 4 20:17 17
11 Halesowen 11 5 2 4 13:16 17
12 Stourbridge 12 4 4 4 14:16 16
13 Redditch 11 3 5 3 17:16 14
14 Banbury 13 3 4 6 16:23 13
15 Leiston 11 3 3 5 17:21 12
16 Stratford 12 2 5 5 12:20 11
17 Leamington 13 2 4 7 17:23 10
18 Stortford 12 3 1 8 14:22 10
19 Hitchin 13 2 4 7 11:19 10
20 Worcester 11 1 4 6 8:16 7
21 Leighton Town 12 1 2 9 13:26 5
22 Stamford 13 0 1 12 3:35 1
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