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Real Brasilia vs Candango

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Brasiliense 2005
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Brasiliense 2005 game between Real Brasilia and Candango finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Real Brasilia
15%
Draws
12%
Candango
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Real Brasilia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Real Brasilia carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Real Brasilia's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Real Brasilia Clean Sheet 20%
Candango Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Brasilia Candango
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 2
Draws 6 5
Losses 18 23
Goals Scored 0.9 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.47 3.2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 6, 2005 Brasiliense
Real Brasilia vs Candango
2:2
Feb 6, 2005 Brasiliense
Candango vs Real Brasilia
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Brasilia 85 / 100
Candango 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Brasilia Candango

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Real Brasilia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Candango's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Candango lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Real Brasilia's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Real Brasilia VS Candango
0.88 Goals Scored 0.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 4.88
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Brasilia

(Home)
28 Feb
ARUC
1 : 4
Real Brasilia
22 Feb
Brasilia FC (DF)
0 : 2
Real Brasilia
11 Feb
Real Brasilia
0 : 3
Sobradinho
07 Feb
Real Brasilia
4 : 5
Paranoa
31 Jan
Ceilandia
2 : 0
Real Brasilia
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Candango

(Away)
19 Sept
Candango
0 : 2
Legiao
13 Sept
Planaltina
2 : 0
Candango
06 Sept
Gremio Valparaiso
1 : 1
Candango
29 Aug
Candango
0 : 4
Taguatinga
11 Oct
Brasilia FC (DF)
6 : 0
Candango
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ceilandia 10 8 2 0 29:10 26
2 Paranoa 10 6 1 3 21:13 19
3 Candango 10 5 4 1 21:12 19
4 Real Brasilia 10 4 2 4 21:18 14
5 Sobradinho 10 1 2 7 11:23 5
6 Bandeirante DF 10 0 1 9 10:37 1
Promotion - Campeonato Brasiliense 2005 (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brasiliense 10 7 3 0 20:7 24
2 Gama 10 6 3 1 18:10 21
3 Luziania 10 4 3 3 13:8 15
4 Unai EC 10 2 4 4 11:17 10
5 Guara 10 1 3 6 10:17 6
6 Santa Maria 10 0 4 6 12:25 4
Promotion - Campeonato Brasiliense 2005 (Championship Group)