Sport Picks
Real Calepina vs Caravaggio - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Italy
Serie D - Group C 2024/2025 
Match Events
27'
27'
Barazzetta A.
89'
89'
Petito D.
89'
89'
Petito D.
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group C 2024/2025 game between Real Calepina and Caravaggio finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Caravaggio.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
30%
39%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Caravaggio
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
31%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Real Calepina come out ahead of Caravaggio on wins alone.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Real Calepina Clean Sheet 68%
Caravaggio Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Real Calepina | Caravaggio |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 6 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 13 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.23 | 1.67 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.04 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 27, 2025 Serie D - Group C
Real Calepina vs Caravaggio
0:1
Dec 15, 2024 Serie D - Group C
Caravaggio vs Real Calepina
0:1
Feb 25, 2024 Serie D - Group B
Real Calepina vs Caravaggio
0:0
Oct 22, 2023 Serie D - Group B
Caravaggio vs Real Calepina
3:2
Feb 27, 2022 Serie D - Group B
Caravaggio vs Real Calepina
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Real Calepina Compare
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52
Caravaggio Compare
Top Goalscorer Barazzetta A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Real Calepina 41 / 100
Caravaggio 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Real Calepina Caravaggio
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Real Calepina Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Caravaggio's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.
Attacking prowess: Real Calepina scored in 77% of their last 31 outings.
Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.
Real Calepina has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Real Calepina VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Real Calepina
(Home) 07 Oct
Real Calepina
0 : 2 AC Leon
04 Oct
Rovato Vertovese
0 : 1 Real Calepina
27 Sept
Real Calepina
2 : 3 Brusaporto
20 Sept
Piacenza
3 : 1 Real Calepina
16 Sept
Real Calepina
2 : 2 Caldiero Terme
Page 1 of 7
07 Oct
Real Calepina
0 : 2 AC Leon
27 Sept
Real Calepina
2 : 3 Brusaporto
16 Sept
Real Calepina
2 : 2 Caldiero Terme
06 Sept
Real Calepina
5 : 1 Pro Palazzolo
03 May
Real Calepina
1 : 1 Scanzorosciate
Page 1 of 3
Caravaggio
(Away) 17 May
Caravaggio
2 : 3 Ciserano-Bergamo
04 May
Caravaggio
0 : 3 Luparense FC
27 Apr
Real Calepina
0 : 1 Caravaggio
17 Apr
Caravaggio
0 : 0 Brusaporto
13 Apr
Brian Lignano
2 : 2 Caravaggio
Page 1 of 6
27 Apr
Real Calepina
0 : 1 Caravaggio
13 Apr
Brian Lignano
2 : 2 Caravaggio
30 Mar
Dolomiti Bellunesi
1 : 0 Caravaggio
09 Mar
Montecchio Maggiore
1 : 1 Caravaggio
16 Feb
Este
3 : 1 Caravaggio
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dolomiti Bellunesi | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 65:39 | 78 |
| 2 | Treviso | 38 | 22 | 8 | 8 | 59:32 | 74 |
| 3 | Villa Valle | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 62:44 | 67 |
| 4 | Adriese | 38 | 18 | 12 | 8 | 55:31 | 66 |
| 5 | Mestre | 38 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 40:34 | 64 |
| 6 | Campodarsego | 38 | 15 | 17 | 6 | 52:36 | 62 |
| 7 | Brusaporto | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 46:37 | 60 |
| 8 | Luparense FC | 38 | 13 | 17 | 8 | 48:36 | 56 |
| 9 | Real Calepina | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 44:44 | 55 |
| 10 | Cjarlins Muzane | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 50:49 | 55 |
| 11 | Este | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 50:50 | 54 |
| 12 | Brian Lignano | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 45:49 | 48 |
| 13 | Calvi Noale | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 44:44 | 47 |
| 14 | Bassano Virtus | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 43:36 | 47 |
| 15 | Portogruaro | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 32:36 | 46 |
| 16 | Caravaggio | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 42:54 | 41 |
| 17 | Ciserano-Bergamo | 38 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 42:55 | 40 |
| 18 | Chions | 38 | 6 | 12 | 20 | 35:59 | 30 |
| 19 | Montecchio Maggiore | 38 | 6 | 9 | 23 | 32:55 | 27 |
| 20 | Lavis | 38 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 25:91 | 12 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group C 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2024/2025 (Play Out)
