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Real Calepina vs Villa Valle - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Real Calepina host Villa Valle in the Serie D - Group B. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Real Calepina at 1.27 goals for, 1.23 against; Villa Valle at 1.21 for, 1.24 against. Head-to-head, Real Calepina have won 0 to Villa Valle's 3, with 2 draws. They last met on Jan 6, 2026, ending 2:2. The numbers (1.56 xG vs 1.50) point toward Villa Valle. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Real Calepina
35%
Draws
35%
Villa Valle
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Real Calepina come out ahead of Villa Valle on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Serie D - Group B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Real Calepina Clean Sheet 16%
Villa Valle Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Calepina Villa Valle
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 10
Draws 7 10
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.27 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 6, 2026 Serie D - Group B
Villa Valle vs Real Calepina
2:2
Sep 7, 2025 Serie D - Group B
Real Calepina vs Villa Valle
1:3
May 4, 2025 Serie D - Group C
Villa Valle vs Real Calepina
3:1
Dec 22, 2024 Serie D - Group C
Real Calepina vs Villa Valle
1:1
Nov 6, 2024 Coppa Italia Serie D
Villa Valle vs Real Calepina
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Calepina 31 / 100
Villa Valle 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Calepina Villa Valle

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Real Calepina scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Villa Valle let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Real Calepina stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Real Calepina VS Villa Valle
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Calepina

(Home)
04 Oct
Rovato Vertovese
0 : 1
Real Calepina
27 Sept
Real Calepina
2 : 3
Brusaporto
20 Sept
Piacenza
3 : 1
Real Calepina
16 Sept
Real Calepina
2 : 2
Caldiero Terme
12 Sept
Scanzorosciate
0 : 0
Real Calepina
Page 1 of 6

Villa Valle

(Away)
04 Oct
Villa Valle
0 : 0
Fiorenzuola
27 Sept
AC Leon
1 : 2
Villa Valle
20 Sept
Villa Valle
1 : 2
AC Milan U23
16 Sept
Tritium
1 : 1
Villa Valle
12 Sept
Villa Valle
0 : 0
Ciserano-Bergamo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chievo 6 5 0 1 14:6 15
2 Nibbiano & Valtidone 6 5 0 1 7:2 15
3 Piacenza 5 3 1 1 10:4 10
4 Pro Palazzolo 6 3 1 2 6:7 10
5 Ciserano-Bergamo 6 2 3 1 8:4 9
6 AC Leon 6 2 3 1 9:7 9
7 Caldiero Terme 6 2 3 1 9:8 9
8 AC Milan U23 4 3 0 1 8:7 9
9 Brusaporto 6 3 0 3 7:8 9
10 Real Calepina 6 2 2 2 11:9 8
11 Virtus Verona 6 2 2 2 5:7 8
12 Villa Valle 6 1 4 1 6:6 7
13 Pavonese 5 2 1 2 5:6 7
14 Scanzorosciate 6 1 2 3 5:8 5
15 Club Milano 6 1 1 4 4:7 4
16 Rovato Vertovese 6 0 3 3 8:12 3
17 Fiorenzuola 6 0 2 4 1:7 2
18 Tritium 6 0 2 4 7:15 2
Promotion - Serie D - Group B (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B (Play Out)