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Real Casalnuovo vs Akragas Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Reginaldo
(Penalty)
52' Event
Carnevale A.
59' Event
Grillo P.

AI Match Summary

Real Casalnuovo in this Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Real Casalnuovo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Real Casalnuovo
20%
Draws
16%
Akragas
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Real Casalnuovo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

16% / Low Confidence
  • Akragas haven't matched Real Casalnuovo's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Real Casalnuovo Clean Sheet 26%
Akragas Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Casalnuovo Akragas
Matches Played 28 25
Wins 12 3
Draws 6 6
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 1.46 0.64
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 0.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 26, 2024 Serie D - Group I
Akragas vs Real Casalnuovo
1:0
Oct 22, 2023 Serie D - Group I
Real Casalnuovo vs Akragas
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Real Casalnuovo Compare

Top Goalscorer Carnevale A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dore S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

Akragas Compare

Top Goalscorer Grillo P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.73
Avg xA / game 0.44

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Casalnuovo 38 / 100
Akragas 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Casalnuovo Akragas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Akragas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Akragas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 25 matches.

Attacking prowess: Real Casalnuovo scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Akragas lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Akragas
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Casalnuovo

(Home)
05 May
Real Casalnuovo
3 : 4
Siracusa
28 Apr
San Luca
0 : 1
Real Casalnuovo
14 Apr
AS Acireale
1 : 1
Real Casalnuovo
07 Apr
Real Casalnuovo
0 : 1
Reggina
28 Mar
Igea Virtus
3 : 1
Real Casalnuovo
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Akragas

(Away)
09 Mar
Reggina
2 : 0
Akragas
02 Mar
Akragas
0 : 0
AS Acireale
23 Feb
USD Ragusa
3 : 0
Akragas
16 Feb
Akragas
1 : 2
S. Agata
09 Feb
Scafatese
3 : 1
Akragas
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Trapani 34 30 4 0 95:15 94
2 Siracusa 34 25 6 3 79:26 81
3 Vibonese 34 22 6 6 67:29 72
4 Reggina 34 19 8 7 54:25 65
5 AS Acireale 34 15 9 10 39:41 54
6 S. Agata 34 15 7 12 46:35 52
7 Real Casalnuovo 34 15 6 13 52:49 51
8 USD Ragusa 34 14 8 12 41:38 50
9 Canicatti 34 14 6 14 55:51 48
10 Igea Virtus 34 13 6 15 38:40 45
11 Licata 34 12 7 15 43:54 43
12 Akragas 34 12 6 16 42:53 42
13 Sancataldese 34 9 10 15 32:43 37
14 Portici 1906 34 8 8 18 32:55 32
15 San Luca 34 6 12 16 37:55 29
16 Locri 1909 34 7 7 20 34:68 28
17 Castrovillari 34 2 12 20 29:76 17
18 Nuova Gioiese 34 3 2 29 18:80 11
19 Lamezia Terme 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 (Play Out)