Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Real Cundinamarca vs Cartagena

Colombia Colombia

Primera B Estadio Municipal de Mosquera, Mosquera
Sun, Aug 2, 2026
VS
09:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Real Cundinamarca host Cartagena in the Primera B. This one's hard to separate. Real Cundinamarca have averaged 1 scored and 0.86 conceded recently, against Cartagena's 1.13 scored and 1.25 conceded. Head-to-head, Real Cundinamarca have won 1 to Cartagena's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Jan 31, 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (1.13 xG vs 0.99) point toward Cartagena. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Real Cundinamarca
30%
Draws
34%
Cartagena
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Real Cundinamarca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cartagena lately — more wins on the board than Real Cundinamarca.
  • Model gives Real Cundinamarca a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Primera B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Real Cundinamarca Clean Sheet 20%
Cartagena Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Cundinamarca Cartagena
Matches Played 32 35
Wins 11 15
Draws 11 12
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.86 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.86 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2026 Primera B
Cartagena vs Real Cundinamarca
1:0
Nov 17, 2025 Primera B
Real Cundinamarca vs Cartagena
1:2
Nov 12, 2025 Primera B
Cartagena vs Real Cundinamarca
0:0
Aug 5, 2025 Primera B
Cartagena vs Real Cundinamarca
0:0
Apr 4, 2025 Primera B
Real Cundinamarca vs Cartagena
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Cundinamarca 36 / 100
Cartagena 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Cundinamarca Cartagena

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Cundinamarca's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Cartagena let in goals in 69% of their last 35 matches.

Recent resilience: Real Cundinamarca stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 1.40 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Real Cundinamarca VS Cartagena
1 Goals Scored 1.13
0.86 Goals Conceded 1.25
57% Over 1.5 75%
29% Over 2.5 63%
14% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Cundinamarca

(Home)
27 Jul
Envigado
1 : 0
Real Cundinamarca
26 May
Real Cundinamarca
2 : 2
Aguilas Doradas
17 May
Dep. Pereira
1 : 0
Real Cundinamarca
13 May
Real Cundinamarca
2 : 0
Ind. Yumbo
07 May
Jaguares de Cordoba
1 : 2
Real Cundinamarca
Page 1 of 7

Cartagena

(Away)
26 Jul
Cartagena
5 : 1
Real Santander
22 Jul
America De Cali
2 : 1
Cartagena
29 May
Envigado
1 : 1
Cartagena
26 May
Cartagena
2 : 3
Envigado
22 May
Cartagena
2 : 1
Barranquilla
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cartagena11005:13
2Patriotas11003:13
3Ind. Yumbo11002:03
4Envigado11001:03
5Leones11001:03
6Bogota11001:03
7Boca Juniors de Cali11001:03
8Orsomarso11001:03
9Quindio10010:10
10Tigres Futbol Club10010:10
11Real Cundinamarca10010:10
12Union Magdalena10010:10
13Barranquilla10010:10
14Inter Palmira10011:30
15Atletico F.C.10010:20
16Real Santander10011:50
Promotion - Primera B (Clausura - Quadrangular)