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Stadium Background

Real Cundinamarca vs Cartagena Prediction & H2H Stats

Colombia Colombia

Primera B Estadio Municipal de Mosquera, Mosquera
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Acosta O.
46'
Sub
Vidal K. In: Gomez C.
Out: Vidal K.
59'
Sub
Pino D. In: Rios J.
Out: Pino D.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Primera B matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Real Cundinamarca
20%
Draws
24%
Cartagena
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Real Cundinamarca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Cartagena at 1.54 per game, Real Cundinamarca at 1.39.
  • Model gives Real Cundinamarca a 56% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Primera B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
Real Cundinamarca Clean Sheet 68%
Cartagena Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Cundinamarca Cartagena
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 11
Draws 9 9
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1.39 1.54
Goals Conceded 1.11 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2026 Primera B
Real Cundinamarca vs Cartagena
1:1
Jan 31, 2026 Primera B
Cartagena vs Real Cundinamarca
1:0
Nov 17, 2025 Primera B
Real Cundinamarca vs Cartagena
1:2
Nov 12, 2025 Primera B
Cartagena vs Real Cundinamarca
0:0
Aug 5, 2025 Primera B
Cartagena vs Real Cundinamarca
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Real Cundinamarca Compare

Top Goalscorer Acosta O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Cartagena Compare

Top Goalscorer Balanta M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Cundinamarca 68 / 100
Cartagena 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Cundinamarca Cartagena

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Real Cundinamarca Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Cundinamarca's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Cartagena let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

Recent resilience: Real Cundinamarca stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 1.20 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Real Cundinamarca VS Cartagena
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Cundinamarca

(Home)
02 Oct
Atletico F.C.
1 : 2
Real Cundinamarca
27 Sept
Barranquilla
0 : 1
Real Cundinamarca
21 Sept
Real Cundinamarca
3 : 1
Quindio
12 Sept
Real Cundinamarca
2 : 1
Union Magdalena
09 Sept
Real Cundinamarca
1 : 2
Inter Bogotá
Page 1 of 6

Cartagena

(Away)
29 Sept
Union Magdalena
1 : 1
Cartagena
22 Sept
Cartagena
0 : 0
Envigado
12 Sept
Inter Palmira
2 : 1
Cartagena
05 Sept
Orsomarso
0 : 1
Cartagena
29 Aug
Cartagena
0 : 3
Tigres Futbol Club
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Cundinamarca 11 7 2 2 19:10 23
2 Independiente Valle del Cauca 10 6 2 2 14:6 20
3 Tigres Futbol Club 10 5 3 2 12:4 18
4 Patriotas 10 5 2 3 17:16 17
5 Cartagena 10 4 3 3 17:11 15
6 Boca Juniors de Cali 9 4 2 3 14:11 14
7 Inter Palmira 10 4 2 4 8:11 14
8 Atletico F.C. 11 4 2 5 13:17 14
9 Quindio 10 3 4 3 8:8 13
10 Real Santander 10 2 6 2 12:15 12
11 Envigado 10 2 5 3 9:8 11
12 Bogota 10 3 2 5 6:10 11
13 Orsomarso 10 2 4 4 7:10 10
14 Leones 10 2 3 5 7:16 9
15 Union Magdalena 9 2 2 5 6:10 8
16 Barranquilla 10 2 2 6 10:16 8
Promotion - Primera B (Clausura - Quadrangular)