Sport Picks
Real Du Faso vs Sonabel Ouagadougou
Burkina Faso
Premier League Stade Wobi, Bobo Dioulasso 
Match Events
39'
39'
Dicko B.
Assist: Zerbo I.
57'
57'
Konate D.
Assist: Ouedraogo V. A.
60'
60'
Bagre T.
AI Match Summary
Sonabel Ouagadougou in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sonabel Ouagadougou.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
42%
20%
38%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Real Du Faso
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
67%
/ Medium Confidence
- Real Du Faso have won more games recently than Sonabel Ouagadougou.
- Real Du Faso are the model's pick here, at 42%.
- Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.4%
Real Du Faso Clean Sheet 68%
Sonabel Ouagadougou Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Real Du Faso | Sonabel Ouagadougou |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 8 |
| Draws | 10 | 12 |
| Losses | 11 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 0.63 | 0.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.5 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.63 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.50 | 1.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 5, 2026 Premier League
Sonabel Ouagadougou vs Real Du Faso
1:0
Dec 13, 2025 Premier League
Real Du Faso vs Sonabel Ouagadougou
1:2
Apr 28, 2025 Premier League
Sonabel Ouagadougou vs Real Du Faso
0:3
Oct 21, 2024 Premier League
Real Du Faso vs Sonabel Ouagadougou
0:3
Feb 25, 2023 Premier League
Real Du Faso vs Sonabel Ouagadougou
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Real Du Faso Compare
Top Goalscorer Bagre T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32
Sonabel Ouagadougou Compare
Top Goalscorer Dicko B.
1 Goals Assists Leader Konate D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Real Du Faso 51 / 100
Sonabel Ouagadougou 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Real Du Faso Sonabel Ouagadougou
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Sonabel Ouagadougou conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.40 goals.
Recent resilience: Real Du Faso stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Real Du Faso found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (30 games).
Scoring Trends
Real Du Faso VS Sonabel Ouagadougou
0.63 Goals Scored 0.75
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
38% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Real Du Faso
(Home) 10 May
Real Du Faso
0 : 0 Etoile Filante
03 May
ASFA Yennega
0 : 1 Real Du Faso
26 Apr
ASF Dioulasso
0 : 2 Real Du Faso
18 Apr
Real Du Faso
1 : 2 Vitesse
12 Apr
Rahimo
1 : 0 Real Du Faso
Page 1 of 6
10 May
Real Du Faso
0 : 0 Etoile Filante
18 Apr
Real Du Faso
1 : 2 Vitesse
03 Apr
Real Du Faso
0 : 0 Bobo-Dioulasso
09 Mar
Real Du Faso
0 : 0 USFA
27 Feb
Real Du Faso
0 : 0 Majestic
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Sonabel Ouagadougou
(Away) 10 May
Sonabel Ouagadougou
1 : 0 ASFA Yennega
03 May
Sonabel Ouagadougou
2 : 0 ASF Dioulasso
26 Apr
AS Douanes
2 : 1 Sonabel Ouagadougou
18 Apr
Bobo-Dioulasso
1 : 0 Sonabel Ouagadougou
12 Apr
Sonabel Ouagadougou
1 : 1 CFFEB
Page 1 of 6
26 Apr
AS Douanes
2 : 1 Sonabel Ouagadougou
18 Apr
Bobo-Dioulasso
1 : 0 Sonabel Ouagadougou
21 Mar
Majestic
2 : 2 Sonabel Ouagadougou
13 Mar
Vitesse
2 : 0 Sonabel Ouagadougou
22 Feb
Salitas
0 : 0 Sonabel Ouagadougou
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rahimo | 30 | 20 | 9 | 1 | 47:15 | 69 |
| 2 | USFA | 30 | 12 | 13 | 5 | 31:17 | 49 |
| 3 | Sporting Cascades | 30 | 10 | 13 | 7 | 25:18 | 43 |
| 4 | AS Douanes | 30 | 10 | 13 | 7 | 29:29 | 43 |
| 5 | Majestic | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 26:27 | 43 |
| 6 | CFFEB | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 25:25 | 40 |
| 7 | Salitas | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 29:31 | 40 |
| 8 | Kadiogo | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 27:27 | 38 |
| 9 | ASFA Yennega | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 24:28 | 38 |
| 10 | Vitesse | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 25:25 | 37 |
| 11 | Real Du Faso | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 21:23 | 37 |
| 12 | ASF Dioulasso | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 25:31 | 37 |
| 13 | Sonabel Ouagadougou | 30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 24:28 | 36 |
| 14 | Etoile Filante | 30 | 7 | 12 | 11 | 22:29 | 33 |
| 15 | Bobo-Dioulasso | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 11:28 | 27 |
| 16 | AJE Bobo-Dioulasso | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 27:37 | 26 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2026/2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2026/2027 (Qualification)