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Real Forio 2014 vs Manfredonia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group H
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Sainz-Maza M.
49' Event
Castagna L.
(Penalty)
59' Event
Desiato S.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group H game between Real Forio 2014 and Manfredonia finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Manfredonia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Real Forio 2014
30%
Draws
51%
Manfredonia
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Manfredonia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Manfredonia carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Manfredonia are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group H form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Real Forio 2014 Clean Sheet 19%
Manfredonia Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Forio 2014 Manfredonia
Matches Played 7 28
Wins 2 11
Draws 1 8
Losses 4 9
Goals Scored 1.57 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Serie D - Group H
Real Forio 2014 vs Manfredonia
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Real Forio 2014 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Manfredonia Compare

Top Goalscorer Sainz-Maza M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Desiato S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Forio 2014 16 / 100
Manfredonia 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Forio 2014 Manfredonia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Manfredonia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Forio 2014's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 7 recent games.

Manfredonia let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Real Forio 2014 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Real Forio 2014 VS Manfredonia
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Forio 2014

(Home)
04 Oct
Fidelis Andria
2 : 1
Real Forio 2014
27 Sept
Real Forio 2014
1 : 2
Manfredonia
20 Sept
Gravina
2 : 2
Real Forio 2014
16 Sept
Real Forio 2014
2 : 1
San Felice Gladiator
13 Sept
Martina Calcio
2 : 0
Real Forio 2014
Page 1 of 2

Manfredonia

(Away)
04 Oct
Manfredonia
1 : 0
Bisceglie
27 Sept
Real Forio 2014
1 : 2
Manfredonia
20 Sept
Manfredonia
3 : 0
Ebolitana
16 Sept
Fidelis Andria
1 : 1
Manfredonia
12 Sept
Manfredonia
2 : 2
Nocerina
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Virtus Francavilla 6 5 0 1 12:8 15
2 Nocerina 6 4 1 1 12:8 13
3 Martina Calcio 6 4 0 2 12:7 12
4 Bisceglie 6 4 0 2 11:6 12
5 Turris 6 3 3 0 9:5 12
6 Gravina 6 3 2 1 12:7 11
7 Manfredonia 6 3 2 1 10:6 11
8 Real Normanna 6 3 1 2 10:10 10
9 Brindisi 6 3 0 3 8:8 9
10 Ebolitana 6 2 2 2 6:8 8
11 Real Forio 2014 6 2 1 3 10:10 7
12 San Felice Gladiator 6 2 1 3 9:11 7
13 Palmese 1914 6 2 1 3 9:12 7
14 A.C.D. Nardo 6 1 2 3 5:11 5
15 Melfi 6 1 1 4 2:6 4
16 Fidelis Andria 6 1 1 4 6:11 4
17 Francavilla 6 1 0 5 3:7 3
18 Ischia 6 0 2 4 7:12 2
Promotion - Serie D - Group H (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H (Play Out)