Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Real Forte Querceta vs Seravezza Pozzi

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group E 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

63' Event
Maccabruni M.
71' Event
Mugelli F.
77' Event
Benedetti L.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group E 2023/2024 game between Real Forte Querceta and Seravezza Pozzi finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Seravezza Pozzi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Real Forte Querceta
30%
Draws
47%
Seravezza Pozzi
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Seravezza Pozzi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Seravezza Pozzi carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Seravezza Pozzi's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group E 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Real Forte Querceta Clean Sheet 20%
Seravezza Pozzi Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Forte Querceta Seravezza Pozzi
Matches Played 30 41
Wins 5 20
Draws 10 14
Losses 15 7
Goals Scored 0.97 1.49
Goals Conceded 1.37 0.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2024 Serie D - Group E
Real Forte Querceta vs Seravezza Pozzi
1:2
Dec 20, 2023 Serie D - Group E
Seravezza Pozzi vs Real Forte Querceta
1:1
Apr 3, 2022 Serie D - Group D
Seravezza Pozzi vs Real Forte Querceta
1:0
Nov 21, 2021 Serie D - Group D
Real Forte Querceta vs Seravezza Pozzi
1:1
May 16, 2021 Serie D - Group D
Seravezza Pozzi vs Real Forte Querceta
4:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Real Forte Querceta Compare

Top Goalscorer Maccabruni M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Seravezza Pozzi Compare

Top Goalscorer Mugelli F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Benedetti L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.55

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Forte Querceta 10 / 100
Seravezza Pozzi 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Forte Querceta Seravezza Pozzi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Seravezza Pozzi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Forte Querceta scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Real Forte Querceta went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Seravezza Pozzi conceded in 56% of 41 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Seravezza Pozzi
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Forte Querceta

(Home)
05 May
Real Forte Querceta
1 : 2
Seravezza Pozzi
28 Apr
Follonica Gavorrano
0 : 0
Real Forte Querceta
21 Apr
Real Forte Querceta
1 : 1
Tau
14 Apr
Grosseto
3 : 0
Real Forte Querceta
07 Apr
Real Forte Querceta
2 : 0
Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
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Seravezza Pozzi

(Away)
27 Sept
Seravezza Pozzi
3 : 0
Terranuova Traiana
20 Sept
SCD Progresso
0 : 3
Seravezza Pozzi
16 Sept
Seravezza Pozzi
1 : 1
Montevarchi
12 Sept
Seravezza Pozzi
5 : 0
Lucchese
06 Sept
San Donato Tavarnelle
2 : 1
Seravezza Pozzi
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pianese 34 19 11 4 62:35 68
2 Follonica Gavorrano 34 18 11 5 44:25 65
3 Grosseto 34 16 15 3 53:33 63
4 Livorno 34 16 11 7 49:32 59
5 Tau 34 15 13 6 55:31 58
6 Seravezza Pozzi 34 17 6 11 49:40 57
7 Poggibonsi 34 15 7 12 48:42 52
8 Ghiviborgo 34 15 5 14 54:54 50
9 Figline 34 12 13 9 45:43 49
10 Sporting Trestina 34 11 10 13 43:45 43
11 Montevarchi 34 10 13 11 42:41 43
12 Sangiovannese 34 10 12 12 30:37 42
13 San Donato Tavarnelle 34 11 7 16 30:33 40
14 Orvietana 34 10 8 16 33:44 38
15 Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro 34 5 14 15 24:46 29
16 Real Forte Querceta 34 6 10 18 31:46 28
17 Mobilieri Ponsacco 34 2 14 18 33:60 20
18 SC Cenaia 34 3 10 21 29:67 19
Promotion - Serie D - Group E 2023/2024 (Play Offs)