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Real Madrid B W vs Alhama W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Primera Federacion Women Alfredo di Stéfano Stadium, Madrid
Our Tip

Match Events

48' Event
Sierra Perez L.
65'
Ashurst C.

AI Match Summary

Alhama W in this Primera Federacion Women matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Alhama W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

11%
Real Madrid B W
20%
Draws
69%
Alhama W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Alhama W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Real Madrid B W have won more games recently than Alhama W.
  • Win probability leans Alhama W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Alhama W here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Real Madrid B W Clean Sheet 16%
Alhama W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Madrid B W Alhama W
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 12 9
Draws 6 3
Losses 12 22
Goals Scored 1.3 1.15
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Primera Federacion Women
Real Madrid B W vs Alhama W
0:1
Feb 16, 2025 Primera Federacion Women
Alhama W vs Real Madrid B W
3:0
Nov 10, 2024 Primera Federacion Women
Real Madrid B W vs Alhama W
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Real Madrid B W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Alhama W Compare

Top Goalscorer Sierra Perez L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Madrid B W 10 / 100
Alhama W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Madrid B W Alhama W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alhama W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alhama W let in goals in 85% of their last 34 matches.

Real Madrid B W scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 2.67 goals.

Real Madrid B W has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Real Madrid B W VS Alhama W
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Madrid B W

(Home)
03 Oct
Real Madrid B W
0 : 1
Cacereno W
27 Sept
Tenerife B W
3 : 1
Real Madrid B W
20 Sept
Real Madrid B W
0 : 1
Alhama W
13 Sept
CA Osasuna W
3 : 3
Real Madrid B W
02 May
Real Madrid B W
1 : 1
Villarreal W
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Alhama W

(Away)
04 Oct
Barcelona B W
2 : 0
Alhama W
26 Sept
Alhama W
2 : 1
Albacete W
20 Sept
Real Madrid B W
0 : 1
Alhama W
13 Sept
Alhama W
4 : 0
Levante W
22 Aug
Alhama W
5 : 0
Almeria W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Levante W 4 3 0 1 13:9 9
2 Alhama W 4 3 0 1 7:3 9
3 Atl. Madrid B W 4 3 0 1 13:12 9
4 CA Osasuna W 4 2 2 0 12:5 8
5 Albacete W 4 2 0 2 8:4 6
6 Cacereno W 4 2 0 2 5:6 6
7 Villarreal W 4 1 2 1 4:4 5
8 Sport Extremadura CD W 4 1 2 1 4:4 5
9 Athletic Bilbao B W 4 1 2 1 2:7 5
10 Barcelona B W 4 1 1 2 6:7 4
11 Real Union W 4 1 1 2 3:5 4
12 Tenerife B W 4 1 1 2 4:7 4
13 Real Sociedad B W 4 1 0 3 3:7 3
14 Real Madrid B W 4 0 1 3 4:8 1
Promotion - Liga F Women 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Primera Federacion Women (Promotion - Play Offs)