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Real Madrid B W vs Cacereno W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Primera Federacion Women Alfredo di Stéfano Stadium, Madrid
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Mbappe Etoundi R. N.

AI Match Summary

The Primera Federacion Women game between Real Madrid B W and Cacereno W finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cacereno W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Real Madrid B W
20%
Draws
60%
Cacereno W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cacereno W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Cacereno W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 60% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Cacereno W have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Real Madrid B W Clean Sheet 22%
Cacereno W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Madrid B W Cacereno W
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 12 14
Draws 6 6
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.3 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Primera Federacion Women
Real Madrid B W vs Cacereno W
0:1
Feb 1, 2026 Primera Federacion Women
Real Madrid B W vs Cacereno W
1:2
Oct 5, 2025 Primera Federacion Women
Cacereno W vs Real Madrid B W
1:0
Mar 16, 2025 Primera Federacion Women
Cacereno W vs Real Madrid B W
2:1
Sep 15, 2024 Primera Federacion Women
Real Madrid B W vs Cacereno W
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Real Madrid B W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Cacereno W Compare

Top Goalscorer Mbappe Etoundi R. N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Madrid B W 32 / 100
Cacereno W 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Madrid B W Cacereno W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cacereno W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Madrid B W scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Cacereno W let in goals in 62% of their last 34 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Cacereno W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Real Madrid B W VS Cacereno W
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Madrid B W

(Home)
03 Oct
Real Madrid B W
0 : 1
Cacereno W
27 Sept
Tenerife B W
3 : 1
Real Madrid B W
20 Sept
Real Madrid B W
0 : 1
Alhama W
13 Sept
CA Osasuna W
3 : 3
Real Madrid B W
02 May
Real Madrid B W
1 : 1
Villarreal W
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Cacereno W

(Away)
03 Oct
Real Madrid B W
0 : 1
Cacereno W
27 Sept
Cacereno W
2 : 0
Real Union W
20 Sept
Levante W
3 : 0
Cacereno W
13 Sept
Real Sociedad B W
3 : 2
Cacereno W
15 Aug
Logrono W
3 : 0
Cacereno W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Levante W 4 3 0 1 13:9 9
2 Alhama W 4 3 0 1 7:3 9
3 Atl. Madrid B W 4 3 0 1 13:12 9
4 CA Osasuna W 4 2 2 0 12:5 8
5 Albacete W 4 2 0 2 8:4 6
6 Cacereno W 4 2 0 2 5:6 6
7 Villarreal W 4 1 2 1 4:4 5
8 Sport Extremadura CD W 4 1 2 1 4:4 5
9 Athletic Bilbao B W 4 1 2 1 2:7 5
10 Barcelona B W 4 1 1 2 6:7 4
11 Real Union W 4 1 1 2 3:5 4
12 Tenerife B W 4 1 1 2 4:7 4
13 Real Sociedad B W 4 1 0 3 3:7 3
14 Real Madrid B W 4 0 1 3 4:8 1
Promotion - Liga F Women 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Primera Federacion Women (Promotion - Play Offs)