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Real Madrid C vs CD Coria

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Arnuncio A.
38' Event
Perez A.
54' Event
Bautista M.

AI Match Summary

The Segunda RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 game between Real Madrid C and CD Coria finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD Coria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Real Madrid C
35%
Draws
30%
CD Coria
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • CD Coria carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Real Madrid C's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors CD Coria here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Real Madrid C Clean Sheet 20%
CD Coria Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Madrid C CD Coria
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 15
Draws 7 6
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.04 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Real Madrid C vs CD Coria
2:3
Nov 1, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
CD Coria vs Real Madrid C
2:1
Jan 11, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
CD Coria vs Real Madrid C
1:0
Sep 1, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Real Madrid C vs CD Coria
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Real Madrid C Compare

Top Goalscorer Arnuncio A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Leiva A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

CD Coria Compare

Top Goalscorer Perez A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bautista M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Madrid C 42 / 100
CD Coria 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Madrid C CD Coria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.75 goals when they meet.

Real Madrid C scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

CD Coria has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Real Madrid C went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Real Madrid C VS CD Coria
0.25 Goals Scored 1.75
0.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
13% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Madrid C

(Home)
13 Sept
CF Talavera
0 : 0
Real Madrid C
06 Sept
Real Madrid C
0 : 0
Albacete B
29 Aug
Gimnastica Segoviana
0 : 1
Real Madrid C
21 Aug
Real Madrid C
0 : 2
Baleares
15 Aug
Numancia
0 : 0
Real Madrid C
Page 1 of 6

CD Coria

(Away)
19 Sept
CD Coria
1 : 1
Real Aviles
13 Sept
Lugo
1 : 0
CD Coria
05 Sept
CD Coria
4 : 1
Barakaldo
30 Aug
Real Union
4 : 1
CD Coria
14 Aug
CD Coria
2 : 2
CD Extremadura
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rayo Majadahonda 34 20 10 4 52:23 70
2 San Sebastian Reyes 34 21 7 6 51:27 70
3 Conquense 34 16 12 6 42:30 60
4 Getafe B 34 16 9 9 55:35 57
5 CD Coria 34 16 9 9 50:38 57
6 RSD Alcala 34 14 9 11 42:39 51
7 Tenerife B 34 15 5 14 57:53 50
8 Orihuela 34 12 10 12 45:43 46
9 CF Intercity 34 11 10 13 42:45 43
10 Navalcarnero 34 11 10 13 40:42 43
11 Las Palmas B 34 11 9 14 42:45 42
12 Ilicitano 34 10 11 13 51:56 41
13 Real Madrid C 34 11 7 16 42:45 40
14 Quintanar del Rey 34 11 6 17 36:43 39
15 CF Fuenlabrada 34 9 10 15 35:44 37
16 Colonia Moscardo 34 9 7 18 37:57 34
17 Socuellamos 34 7 10 17 34:55 31
18 Rayo Vallecano B 34 9 3 22 30:63 30
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)