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Real Madrid C vs CD Fortuna - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 7 2011/2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 7 2011/2012 game between Real Madrid C and CD Fortuna finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Real Madrid C.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Real Madrid C
30%
Draws
35%
CD Fortuna
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Real Madrid C carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 35% — that's where the model lands on Real Madrid C taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Real Madrid C Clean Sheet 20%
CD Fortuna Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Madrid C CD Fortuna
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 4
Draws 7 5
Losses 12 21
Goals Scored 1.1 0.47
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 22, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Real Madrid C vs CD Fortuna
3:1
Nov 20, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
CD Fortuna vs Real Madrid C
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Madrid C 58 / 100
CD Fortuna 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Madrid C CD Fortuna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Real Madrid C Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Madrid C scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

CD Fortuna has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Real Madrid C has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Real Madrid C VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Madrid C

(Home)
07 Oct
Real Madrid C
1 : 1
Guadalajara
03 Oct
Atletico Paso
1 : 0
Real Madrid C
27 Sept
Atl. Madrid C
2 : 0
Real Madrid C
13 Sept
CF Talavera
0 : 0
Real Madrid C
06 Sept
Real Madrid C
0 : 0
Albacete B
Page 1 of 6

CD Fortuna

(Away)
05 Sept
CD Fortuna
1 : 0
Trival Valderas
13 May
Mexico
1 : 0
CD Fortuna
06 May
CD Fortuna
1 : 2
AD Colmenar
02 May
Pozuelo de Alarcon
3 : 2
CD Fortuna
29 Apr
CD Fortuna
1 : 4
Navalcarnero
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CF Fuenlabrada 38 22 7 9 60:33 73
2 Real Madrid C 38 19 10 9 65:33 67
3 Puerta Bonita 38 18 12 8 42:32 66
4 Parla 38 18 10 10 60:39 64
5 AD Colmenar 38 17 11 10 59:42 62
6 DUX Internacional de Madrid 38 16 13 9 46:40 61
7 Carabanchel 38 16 12 10 40:32 60
8 Mexico 38 15 11 12 52:43 56
9 Pozuelo de Alarcon 38 15 10 13 47:41 55
10 Colonia Moscardo 38 13 14 11 42:31 53
11 Rayo Majadahonda 38 12 16 10 52:38 52
12 Union Adarve 38 13 13 12 32:34 52
13 Atl. Madrid C 38 12 12 14 49:52 48
14 Villaviciosa de Odon 38 13 8 17 34:48 47
15 Trival Valderas 38 10 16 12 50:52 46
16 Atletico Pinto 38 12 9 17 42:53 45
17 CD Mostoles 38 11 9 18 38:60 39
18 Navalcarnero 38 8 10 20 41:64 34
19 Vicalvaro 38 7 8 23 28:69 29
20 CD Fortuna 38 4 7 27 17:60 19
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)