Sport Picks
Real Madrid C vs Colonia Moscardo
Spain
Segunda RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 
Match Events
54'
54'
Lacosta D.
AI Match Summary
Real Madrid C in this Segunda RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Real Madrid C.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
35%
37%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Colonia Moscardo
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
37%
/ Low Confidence
- Attack-wise there's a gap: Colonia Moscardo at 1.24 per game, Real Madrid C at 1.04.
- 37% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Real Madrid C Clean Sheet 23%
Colonia Moscardo Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Real Madrid C | Colonia Moscardo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 9 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 12 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.04 | 1.24 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.21 | 1.59 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.81 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 14, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Real Madrid C vs Colonia Moscardo
1:0
Sep 6, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Colonia Moscardo vs Real Madrid C
1:2
Feb 9, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Colonia Moscardo vs Real Madrid C
2:1
Sep 29, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Real Madrid C vs Colonia Moscardo
0:1
Feb 10, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Real Madrid C vs Colonia Moscardo
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Real Madrid C Compare
Top Goalscorer Lacosta D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41
Colonia Moscardo Compare
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Real Madrid C 33 / 100
Colonia Moscardo 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Real Madrid C Colonia Moscardo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Colonia Moscardo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Real Madrid C's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Colonia Moscardo has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
Real Madrid C went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Real Madrid C VS Colonia Moscardo
1 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Real Madrid C
(Home) 13 Sept
CF Talavera
0 : 0 Real Madrid C
06 Sept
Real Madrid C
0 : 0 Albacete B
29 Aug
Gimnastica Segoviana
0 : 1 Real Madrid C
21 Aug
Real Madrid C
0 : 2 Baleares
15 Aug
Numancia
0 : 0 Real Madrid C
Page 1 of 6
06 Sept
Real Madrid C
0 : 0 Albacete B
21 Aug
Real Madrid C
0 : 2 Baleares
10 May
Real Madrid C
2 : 2 CD Estepona
03 May
Real Madrid C
0 : 1 Conquense
14 Apr
Real Madrid C
1 : 0 Colonia Moscardo
Page 1 of 3
Colonia Moscardo
(Away) 20 Sept
Colonia Moscardo
5 : 1 Siello
13 Sept
Union Adarve
1 : 1 Colonia Moscardo
06 Sept
Colonia Moscardo
1 : 0 AD Torrejon
03 May
CF Intercity
2 : 0 Colonia Moscardo
26 Apr
Colonia Moscardo
0 : 0 Navalcarnero
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13 Sept
Union Adarve
1 : 1 Colonia Moscardo
03 May
CF Intercity
2 : 0 Colonia Moscardo
14 Apr
Real Madrid C
1 : 0 Colonia Moscardo
05 Apr
Getafe B
0 : 2 Colonia Moscardo
28 Mar
San Sebastian Reyes
2 : 1 Colonia Moscardo
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rayo Majadahonda | 34 | 20 | 10 | 4 | 52:23 | 70 |
| 2 | San Sebastian Reyes | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 51:27 | 70 |
| 3 | Conquense | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 42:30 | 60 |
| 4 | Getafe B | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 55:35 | 57 |
| 5 | CD Coria | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 50:38 | 57 |
| 6 | RSD Alcala | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 42:39 | 51 |
| 7 | Tenerife B | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 57:53 | 50 |
| 8 | Orihuela | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 45:43 | 46 |
| 9 | CF Intercity | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 42:45 | 43 |
| 10 | Navalcarnero | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 40:42 | 43 |
| 11 | Las Palmas B | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 42:45 | 42 |
| 12 | Ilicitano | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 51:56 | 41 |
| 13 | Real Madrid C | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 42:45 | 40 |
| 14 | Quintanar del Rey | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 36:43 | 39 |
| 15 | CF Fuenlabrada | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 35:44 | 37 |
| 16 | Colonia Moscardo | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 37:57 | 34 |
| 17 | Socuellamos | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 34:55 | 31 |
| 18 | Rayo Vallecano B | 34 | 9 | 3 | 22 | 30:63 | 30 |
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)
