Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Real Madrid vs Leganes

World World

Club Friendly Ciudad Real Madrid, Madrid
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Valverde F.
Assist: Guler A.
25' Event
Garcia G.
Assist: Alexander-Arnold T.
29'
Guler A.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Real Madrid and Leganes finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Real Madrid.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Real Madrid
15%
Draws
45%
Leganes
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Leganes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Real Madrid come out ahead of Leganes on wins alone.
  • Real Madrid are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Real Madrid have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Real Madrid Clean Sheet 20%
Leganes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Madrid Leganes
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 20 9
Draws 3 7
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 2.13 1.04
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 28, 2026 Club Friendly
Real Madrid vs Leganes
4:1
Mar 29, 2025 LaLiga
Real Madrid vs Leganes
3:2
Feb 5, 2025 Copa del Rey
Leganes vs Real Madrid
2:3
Nov 24, 2024 LaLiga
Leganes vs Real Madrid
0:3
Jul 19, 2020 LaLiga
Leganes vs Real Madrid
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Real Madrid Compare

Top Goalscorer Valverde F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Garcia G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Leganes Compare

Top Goalscorer Garcia N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Madrid 85 / 100
Leganes 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Madrid Leganes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Real Madrid Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Real Madrid scored in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.40 goals per match.

Leganes's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 28 matches.

Recent resilience: Real Madrid stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Real Madrid VS Leganes
2.25 Goals Scored 0.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 38%
75% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Madrid

(Home)
20 Sept
Atl. Madrid
2 : 1
Real Madrid
15 Sept
Elche
2 : 3
Real Madrid
12 Sept
Real Madrid
4 : 1
Rayo Vallecano
08 Sept
Real Madrid
2 : 1
Inter
04 Sept
Betis
1 : 0
Real Madrid
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Leganes

(Away)
20 Sept
Leganes
3 : 2
Granada CF
13 Sept
Tenerife
2 : 0
Leganes
04 Sept
Las Palmas
0 : 0
Leganes
29 Aug
Leganes
1 : 0
Eldense
22 Aug
Real Oviedo
0 : 1
Leganes
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