Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Real Madrid W vs Atl. Madrid W

Spain Spain

Liga F Women 2025/2026 Alfredo di Stéfano Stadium, Madrid
Our Tip

Match Events

23'
Fernandez A.
25' Event
Weir C.
62'
Sub
Lola In: Larque P.
Out: Lola

AI Match Summary

The Liga F Women 2025/2026 game between Real Madrid W and Atl. Madrid W finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Real Madrid W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Real Madrid W
6%
Draws
4%
Atl. Madrid W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Real Madrid W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Real Madrid W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Real Madrid W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Real Madrid W Clean Sheet 10%
Atl. Madrid W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Madrid W Atl. Madrid W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 21 12
Draws 2 7
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 1.38 2
Goals Conceded 2 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Liga F Women
Real Madrid W vs Atl. Madrid W
1:0
Jan 20, 2026 Super Cup Women
Real Madrid W vs Atl. Madrid W
3:1
Sep 5, 2025 Liga F Women
Atl. Madrid W vs Real Madrid W
2:1
Jan 5, 2025 Liga F Women
Atl. Madrid W vs Real Madrid W
1:2
Oct 13, 2024 Liga F Women
Real Madrid W vs Atl. Madrid W
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Real Madrid W Compare

Top Goalscorer Weir C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Atl. Madrid W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Madrid W 83 / 100
Atl. Madrid W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Madrid W Atl. Madrid W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick REA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Madrid W found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

Real Madrid W went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Atl. Madrid W conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Real Madrid W VS Atl. Madrid W
1.38 Goals Scored 2
2 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Madrid W

(Home)
31 May
Real Madrid W
2 : 0
Granada CF W
26 May
Badalona W
0 : 4
Real Madrid W
10 May
Real Madrid W
1 : 0
Atl. Madrid W
02 May
Sevilla W
0 : 2
Real Madrid W
26 Apr
Real Madrid W
1 : 1
Logrono Dux W
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Atl. Madrid W

(Away)
31 May
Real Sociedad W
2 : 0
Atl. Madrid W
26 May
Atl. Madrid W
2 : 2
Costa Adeje Tenerife W
16 May
Barcelona W
3 : 1
Atl. Madrid W
10 May
Real Madrid W
1 : 0
Atl. Madrid W
03 May
Atl. Madrid W
4 : 0
Eibar W
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Barcelona W302901130:987
2Real Madrid W30233465:1872
3Real Sociedad W30206461:2766
4Costa Adeje Tenerife W301412449:2254
5Atl. Madrid W30149763:3951
6Granada CF W301361136:4245
7Athletic Bilbao W301281035:4444
8Sevilla W301251333:4641
9Badalona W301091128:4639
10Madrid CFF W301141541:5937
11Espanyol W307101328:4431
12Dep. A Coruna W30871534:5431
13Eibar W30841818:4728
14Logrono Dux W30491729:5421
15Alhama W30352223:7814
16Levante W30232518:629
Promotion - Champions League Women (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League Women (Qualification - Second stage)
Relegation - Primera Federacion Women (Main)