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Real Madrid W vs Costa Adeje Tenerife W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Liga F Women Alfredo di Stéfano Stadium, Madrid
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Real Madrid W host Costa Adeje Tenerife W in the Liga F Women. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Costa Adeje Tenerife W have shipped 0.82 goals a game lately, while Real Madrid W have conceded 1.17 and scored 2. Head-to-head, Real Madrid W have won 2 to Costa Adeje Tenerife W's 0, with 3 draws. They last met on Feb 22, 2026, ending 2:0. Model xG sits at 1.63 vs 0.75, favoring Real Madrid W. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Real Madrid W
35%
Draws
32%
Costa Adeje Tenerife W
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Real Madrid W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Costa Adeje Tenerife W's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Liga F Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Real Madrid W Clean Sheet 20%
Costa Adeje Tenerife W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Madrid W Costa Adeje Tenerife W
Matches Played 36 33
Wins 26 16
Draws 4 11
Losses 6 6
Goals Scored 2 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.17 0.82
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Liga F Women
Real Madrid W vs Costa Adeje Tenerife W
2:0
Sep 28, 2025 Liga F Women
Costa Adeje Tenerife W vs Real Madrid W
0:0
May 11, 2025 Liga F Women
Real Madrid W vs Costa Adeje Tenerife W
1:1
Sep 29, 2024 Liga F Women
Costa Adeje Tenerife W vs Real Madrid W
1:4
Aug 17, 2024 Club Friendly Women
Costa Adeje Tenerife W vs Real Madrid W
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Madrid W 28 / 100
Costa Adeje Tenerife W 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Madrid W Costa Adeje Tenerife W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Costa Adeje Tenerife W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Madrid W scored in 86% of their last 36 games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Recent resilience: Real Madrid W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Costa Adeje Tenerife W has conceded goals in 52% of their last 33 outings.

Scoring Trends

Real Madrid W VS Costa Adeje Tenerife W
1.88 Goals Scored 0.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Madrid W

(Home)
04 Oct
Barcelona W
7 : 0
Real Madrid W
01 Oct
Manchester City W
1 : 1
Real Madrid W
26 Sept
Real Sociedad W
3 : 5
Real Madrid W
22 Sept
Real Madrid W
1 : 1
PSG W
19 Sept
Real Madrid W
3 : 1
Valencia W
Page 1 of 8

Costa Adeje Tenerife W

(Away)
04 Oct
Costa Adeje Tenerife W
2 : 1
Logrono W
27 Sept
Valencia W
1 : 2
Costa Adeje Tenerife W
20 Sept
Costa Adeje Tenerife W
1 : 3
Sevilla W
13 Sept
Real Sociedad W
1 : 1
Costa Adeje Tenerife W
06 Sept
Costa Adeje Tenerife W
0 : 0
Dep. A Coruna W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barcelona W 6 6 0 0 28:2 18
2 Madrid CFF W 6 4 1 1 11:9 13
3 Real Madrid W 6 4 1 1 13:13 13
4 Athletic Bilbao W 6 3 2 1 11:8 11
5 Eibar W 6 3 2 1 4:4 11
6 Atl. Madrid W 6 3 0 3 10:11 9
7 Espanyol W 6 2 2 2 9:6 8
8 Badalona W 6 2 2 2 9:8 8
9 Costa Adeje Tenerife W 6 2 2 2 6:11 8
10 Sevilla W 6 2 1 3 7:10 7
11 Granada CF W 6 2 1 3 5:9 7
12 Logrono W 6 2 0 4 5:7 6
13 Alaves W 6 2 0 4 3:9 6
14 Dep. A Coruna W 6 1 2 3 5:6 5
15 Real Sociedad W 6 1 2 3 7:11 5
16 Valencia W 6 0 0 6 4:13 0
Relegation - Primera Federacion Women 2027/2028 (Main)