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Real Madrid W vs Espanyol W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Liga F Women Alfredo di Stéfano Stadium, Madrid
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
06:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Real Madrid W host Espanyol W in the Liga F Women. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: Real Madrid W at 2 goals for, 1.17 against; Espanyol W at 1.07 for, 1.37 against. Head-to-head, Real Madrid W have won 5 to Espanyol W's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Feb 8, 2026, ending 3:0. Model xG sits at 1.31 vs 1.13, favoring Real Madrid W. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Real Madrid W
35%
Draws
32%
Espanyol W
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Real Madrid W lately — more wins on the board than Espanyol W.
  • 32% — that's where the model lands on Espanyol W taking it.
  • Regular Liga F Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Real Madrid W have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Real Madrid W Clean Sheet 20%
Espanyol W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Madrid W Espanyol W
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 25 9
Draws 4 9
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 2 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 Liga F Women
Real Madrid W vs Espanyol W
3:0
Dec 20, 2025 Copa de la Reina Women
Espanyol W vs Real Madrid W
0:4
Nov 1, 2025 Liga F Women
Espanyol W vs Real Madrid W
0:1
Jan 31, 2025 Liga F Women
Real Madrid W vs Espanyol W
5:0
Sep 6, 2024 Liga F Women
Espanyol W vs Real Madrid W
0:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Madrid W 20 / 100
Espanyol W 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Madrid W Espanyol W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Espanyol W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Madrid W found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (35 games).

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Espanyol W let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Real Madrid W has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Real Madrid W VS Espanyol W
1.88 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Madrid W

(Home)
04 Oct
Barcelona W
7 : 0
Real Madrid W
01 Oct
Manchester City W
1 : 1
Real Madrid W
26 Sept
Real Sociedad W
3 : 5
Real Madrid W
22 Sept
Real Madrid W
1 : 1
PSG W
19 Sept
Real Madrid W
3 : 1
Valencia W
Page 1 of 7

Espanyol W

(Away)
03 Oct
Espanyol W
1 : 0
Alaves W
27 Sept
Dep. A Coruna W
1 : 1
Espanyol W
19 Sept
Espanyol W
5 : 1
Madrid CFF W
12 Sept
Athletic Bilbao W
2 : 2
Espanyol W
05 Sept
Espanyol W
0 : 1
Badalona W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barcelona W 6 6 0 0 28:2 18
2 Madrid CFF W 6 4 1 1 11:9 13
3 Real Madrid W 6 4 1 1 13:13 13
4 Athletic Bilbao W 6 3 2 1 11:8 11
5 Eibar W 6 3 2 1 4:4 11
6 Atl. Madrid W 6 3 0 3 10:11 9
7 Espanyol W 6 2 2 2 9:6 8
8 Badalona W 6 2 2 2 9:8 8
9 Costa Adeje Tenerife W 6 2 2 2 6:11 8
10 Sevilla W 6 2 1 3 7:10 7
11 Granada CF W 6 2 1 3 5:9 7
12 Logrono W 6 2 0 4 5:7 6
13 Alaves W 6 2 0 4 3:9 6
14 Dep. A Coruna W 6 1 2 3 5:6 5
15 Real Sociedad W 6 1 2 3 7:11 5
16 Valencia W 6 0 0 6 4:13 0
Relegation - Primera Federacion Women 2027/2028 (Main)