Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Real Madrid W vs Granada CF W

Spain Spain

Liga F Women 2025/2026 Alfredo di Stéfano Stadium, Madrid
Our Tip

Match Events

25'
Galvez Luna R.
45'
Navarro E.
62'
Sub
Angeldal F. In: Toletti S.
Out: Angeldal F.

AI Match Summary

The Liga F Women 2025/2026 game between Real Madrid W and Granada CF W finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Real Madrid W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Real Madrid W
20%
Draws
28%
Granada CF W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Real Madrid W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Real Madrid W come out ahead of Granada CF W on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Real Madrid W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Liga F Women 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Real Madrid W here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Real Madrid W Clean Sheet 68%
Granada CF W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Madrid W Granada CF W
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 25 14
Draws 4 4
Losses 5 12
Goals Scored 2.03 1.17
Goals Conceded 1 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 Liga F Women
Real Madrid W vs Granada CF W
2:0
Dec 13, 2025 Liga F Women
Granada CF W vs Real Madrid W
0:3
May 4, 2025 Liga F Women
Granada CF W vs Real Madrid W
1:2
Jan 12, 2025 Liga F Women
Real Madrid W vs Granada CF W
3:1
Apr 14, 2024 Liga F Women
Real Madrid W vs Granada CF W
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Real Madrid W Compare

Top Goalscorer del Castillo A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Weir C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Granada CF W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Madrid W 95 / 100
Granada CF W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Madrid W Granada CF W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Real Madrid W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Madrid W found the back of the net in 88% of recent matches (34 games).

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Real Madrid W stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Granada CF W conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Real Madrid W VS Granada CF W
2 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Madrid W

(Home)
01 Oct
Manchester City W
1 : 1
Real Madrid W
26 Sept
Real Sociedad W
3 : 5
Real Madrid W
22 Sept
Real Madrid W
1 : 1
PSG W
19 Sept
Real Madrid W
3 : 1
Valencia W
11 Sept
Dep. A Coruna W
0 : 2
Real Madrid W
Page 1 of 7

Granada CF W

(Away)
26 Sept
Badalona W
0 : 1
Granada CF W
20 Sept
Granada CF W
0 : 3
Dep. A Coruna W
13 Sept
Alaves W
1 : 0
Granada CF W
07 Sept
Granada CF W
3 : 2
Real Sociedad W
29 Aug
Madrid CFF W
3 : 1
Granada CF W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barcelona W 30 29 0 1 130:9 87
2 Real Madrid W 30 23 3 4 65:18 72
3 Real Sociedad W 30 20 6 4 61:27 66
4 Costa Adeje Tenerife W 30 14 12 4 49:22 54
5 Atl. Madrid W 30 14 9 7 63:39 51
6 Granada CF W 30 13 6 11 36:42 45
7 Athletic Bilbao W 30 12 8 10 35:44 44
8 Sevilla W 30 12 5 13 33:46 41
9 Badalona W 30 10 9 11 28:46 39
10 Madrid CFF W 30 11 4 15 41:59 37
11 Espanyol W 30 7 10 13 28:44 31
12 Dep. A Coruna W 30 8 7 15 34:54 31
13 Eibar W 30 8 4 18 18:47 28
14 Logrono W 30 4 9 17 29:54 21
15 Alhama W 30 3 5 22 23:78 14
16 Levante W 30 2 3 25 18:62 9
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (League phase)
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (Qualification - Second stage)
Relegation - Primera Federacion Women (Main)