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Real Madrid W vs Logrono W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Liga F Women 2025/2026 Alfredo di Stéfano Stadium, Madrid
Real Madrid W Logo

Real Madrid W

1 - 1
FT
Logrono W Logo

Logrono W

Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Caicedo L.
Assist: Redondo A.
53'
Sub
Velazco X. In: Gimenez M.
Out: Velazco X.
55'
Sub
Keukelaar L. In: Feller N.
Out: Keukelaar L.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Liga F Women 2025/2026 game between Real Madrid W and Logrono W finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Real Madrid W
20%
Draws
22%
Logrono W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Real Madrid W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Real Madrid W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Liga F Women 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Real Madrid W Clean Sheet 68%
Logrono W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Madrid W Logrono W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 21 7
Draws 4 7
Losses 5 16
Goals Scored 1.9 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Liga F Women
Real Madrid W vs Logrono W
1:1
Aug 31, 2025 Liga F Women
Logrono W vs Real Madrid W
2:2
Apr 4, 2021 Liga F Women
Logrono W vs Real Madrid W
0:4
Mar 3, 2021 Liga F Women
Real Madrid W vs Logrono W
2:0
Jan 26, 2020 Liga F Women
Real Madrid W vs Logrono W
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Real Madrid W Compare

Top Goalscorer Caicedo L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Logrono W Compare

Top Goalscorer Leitner A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Madrid W 41 / 100
Logrono W 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Madrid W Logrono W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Real Madrid W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Madrid W scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Logrono W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Real Madrid W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Real Madrid W VS Logrono W
2 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Madrid W

(Home)
04 Oct
Barcelona W
7 : 0
Real Madrid W
01 Oct
Manchester City W
1 : 1
Real Madrid W
26 Sept
Real Sociedad W
3 : 5
Real Madrid W
22 Sept
Real Madrid W
1 : 1
PSG W
19 Sept
Real Madrid W
3 : 1
Valencia W
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Logrono W

(Away)
04 Oct
Costa Adeje Tenerife W
2 : 1
Logrono W
26 Sept
Logrono W
0 : 2
Barcelona W
19 Sept
Atl. Madrid W
1 : 0
Logrono W
13 Sept
Logrono W
2 : 1
Valencia W
06 Sept
Logrono W
0 : 1
Athletic Bilbao W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barcelona W 30 29 0 1 130:9 87
2 Real Madrid W 30 23 3 4 65:18 72
3 Real Sociedad W 30 20 6 4 61:27 66
4 Costa Adeje Tenerife W 30 14 12 4 49:22 54
5 Atl. Madrid W 30 14 9 7 63:39 51
6 Granada CF W 30 13 6 11 36:42 45
7 Athletic Bilbao W 30 12 8 10 35:44 44
8 Sevilla W 30 12 5 13 33:46 41
9 Badalona W 30 10 9 11 28:46 39
10 Madrid CFF W 30 11 4 15 41:59 37
11 Espanyol W 30 7 10 13 28:44 31
12 Dep. A Coruna W 30 8 7 15 34:54 31
13 Eibar W 30 8 4 18 18:47 28
14 Logrono W 30 4 9 17 29:54 21
15 Alhama W 30 3 5 22 23:78 14
16 Levante W 30 2 3 25 18:62 9
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (League phase)
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (Qualification - Second stage)
Relegation - Primera Federacion Women (Main)