Sport Picks

USA

MLS Next Pro Zions Bank Stadium

Real Monarchs

4 - 1

Portland Timbers 2

Our Tip

Match Events

Henry K.

Marquez O.

29'

Ondo C.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Real Monarchs in this MLS Next Pro matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Real Monarchs.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%

Real Monarchs

17%

Draws

13%

Portland Timbers 2

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Real Monarchs

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence

Real Monarchs have won more games recently than Portland Timbers 2.
Real Monarchs are the model's pick here, at 70%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
These two have met 5 times recently and Real Monarchs have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 44%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%

Real Monarchs Clean Sheet 16%

Portland Timbers 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Real Monarchs	Portland Timbers 2
Matches Played	30	29
Wins	18	16
Draws	0	0
Losses	12	13
Goals Scored	1.75	1.25
Goals Conceded	1.75	1.38
Expected Goals (xG)	1.75	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.75	1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 13, 2026 MLS Next Pro

Real Monarchs vs Portland Timbers 2

Possession: 47% - 54% Cards: 3 - 3

4:1

May 3, 2026 MLS Next Pro

Real Monarchs vs Portland Timbers 2

Possession: 50% - 54% Cards: 1 - 0

0:3

Aug 4, 2025 MLS Next Pro

Portland Timbers 2 vs Real Monarchs

Possession: 47% - 53% Cards: 4 - 1

1:2

May 29, 2025 MLS Next Pro

Real Monarchs vs Portland Timbers 2

Possession: 41% - 53% Cards: 1 - 4

4:1

Mar 16, 2025 MLS Next Pro

Portland Timbers 2 vs Real Monarchs

Possession: 42% - 51% Cards: 3 - 2

2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Real Monarchs Compare

Top Goalscorer Marquez O.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Charpie W.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.35

Avg xA / game 0.88

Portland Timbers 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Cervantes D.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.14

Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Monarchs 66 / 100

Portland Timbers 2 14 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Real Monarchs Portland Timbers 2

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick REA Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Real Monarchs scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Portland Timbers 2 let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Real Monarchs stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Real Monarchs VS Portland Timbers 2

1.75 Goals Scored 1.25

1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38

88% Over 1.5 63%

75% Over 2.5 50%

63% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Columbus Crew 2	17	12	5	31:27	34
2	New York Red Bulls II	18	10	8	39:27	32
3	New England Revolution II	16	11	5	21:18	31
4	New York City II	16	9	7	27:23	28
5	Philadelphia Union II	18	9	9	21:21	26
6	CT United FC	17	9	8	31:31	25
7	Toronto FC II	18	7	11	27:35	22
8	FC Cincinnati 2	17	5	12	16:31	14

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Crown Legacy	17	12	5	41:25	34
2	Orlando City B	18	11	7	39:32	33
3	Chattanooga	18	12	6	34:29	33
4	Atlanta United 2	17	9	8	38:26	30
5	Chicago Fire II	17	9	8	27:24	27
6	Huntsville City	17	7	10	29:35	22
7	Carolina Core	19	5	14	22:32	18
8	Inter Miami II	16	1	15	14:41	5

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Portland Timbers 2	18	11	7	23:22	34
2	Ventura County	18	10	8	32:27	29
3	Los Angeles FC 2	17	9	8	28:28	29
4	San Jose Earthquakes II	16	9	7	37:19	28
5	Real Monarchs	18	10	8	29:31	26
6	Tacoma Defiance	18	8	10	19:24	24
7	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	19	6	13	25:40	17

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Austin FC II	17	13	4	36:16	40
2	Houston Dynamo 2	16	13	3	37:14	37
3	Minnesota United 2	19	10	9	28:31	29
4	St. Louis City 2	18	10	8	29:30	29
5	North Texas	16	7	9	26:21	22
6	Sporting Kansas City II	18	4	14	23:50	13
7	Colorado Rapids 2	18	3	15	16:35	12

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Columbus Crew 2	17	12	5	31:27	34
2	Crown Legacy	17	12	5	41:25	34
3	Orlando City B	18	11	7	39:32	33
4	Chattanooga	18	12	6	34:29	33
5	New York Red Bulls II	18	10	8	39:27	32
6	New England Revolution II	16	11	5	21:18	31
7	Atlanta United 2	17	9	8	38:26	30
8	New York City II	16	9	7	27:23	28
9	Chicago Fire II	17	9	8	27:24	27
10	Philadelphia Union II	18	9	9	21:21	26
11	CT United FC	17	9	8	31:31	25
12	Toronto FC II	18	7	11	27:35	22
13	Huntsville City	17	7	10	29:35	22
14	Carolina Core	19	5	14	22:32	18
15	FC Cincinnati 2	17	5	12	16:31	14
16	Inter Miami II	16	1	15	14:41	5

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Austin FC II	17	13	4	36:16	40
2	Houston Dynamo 2	16	13	3	37:14	37
3	Portland Timbers 2	18	11	7	23:22	34
4	Minnesota United 2	19	10	9	28:31	29
5	Ventura County	18	10	8	32:27	29
6	Los Angeles FC 2	17	9	8	28:28	29
7	St. Louis City 2	18	10	8	29:30	29
8	San Jose Earthquakes II	16	9	7	37:19	28
9	Real Monarchs	18	10	8	29:31	26
10	Tacoma Defiance	18	8	10	19:24	24
11	North Texas	16	7	9	26:21	22
12	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	19	6	13	25:40	17
13	Sporting Kansas City II	18	4	14	23:50	13
14	Colorado Rapids 2	18	3	15	16:35	12