Sport Picks
Real Monarchs vs San Jose Earthquakes II
USA
MLS Next Pro Zions Bank Stadium, Herriman, UT 
Match Events
37'
37'
Rajagopal R.
43'
43'
Mendoza E.
44'
44'
Riquelme A.
AI Match Summary
The MLS Next Pro game between Real Monarchs and San Jose Earthquakes II finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Real Monarchs.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
39%
30%
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ Medium Confidence
- San Jose Earthquakes II's 2.25 goals per match outpaces what Real Monarchs have produced (1.63).
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Regular MLS Next Pro form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Real Monarchs Clean Sheet 10%
San Jose Earthquakes II Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Real Monarchs | San Jose Earthquakes II |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 16 | 16 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 12 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.63 | 2.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.63 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 2.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.63 | 1.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 8, 2026 MLS Next Pro
San Jose Earthquakes II vs Real Monarchs
3:0
May 13, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Real Monarchs vs San Jose Earthquakes II
2:1
Aug 28, 2025 MLS Next Pro
San Jose Earthquakes II vs Real Monarchs
1:0
Jul 27, 2025 MLS Next Pro
San Jose Earthquakes II vs Real Monarchs
4:0
Apr 11, 2025 MLS Next Pro
Real Monarchs vs San Jose Earthquakes II
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Real Monarchs Compare
Top Goalscorer Riquelme A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
San Jose Earthquakes II Compare
Top Goalscorer Bohane Z.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Real Monarchs 30 / 100
San Jose Earthquakes II 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Real Monarchs San Jose Earthquakes II
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick SAN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Real Monarchs scored in 75% of their last 28 games.
San Jose Earthquakes II's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.
Games between these two average 2.80 goals.
Real Monarchs went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Real Monarchs VS San Jose Earthquakes II
1.63 Goals Scored 2.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Real Monarchs
(Home) 12 Jul
Real Monarchs
2 : 1 Vancouver Whitecaps 2
06 Jul
Los Angeles FC 2
2 : 3 Real Monarchs
28 Jun
Ventura County
3 : 1 Real Monarchs
22 Jun
Tacoma Defiance
1 : 0 Real Monarchs
13 Jun
Real Monarchs
4 : 1 Portland Timbers 2
Page 1 of 6
12 Jul
Real Monarchs
2 : 1 Vancouver Whitecaps 2
13 Jun
Real Monarchs
4 : 1 Portland Timbers 2
30 May
Real Monarchs
1 : 3 Sporting Kansas City II
21 May
Real Monarchs
2 : 0 Colorado Rapids 2
13 May
Real Monarchs
2 : 1 San Jose Earthquakes II
Page 1 of 4
San Jose Earthquakes II
(Away) 19 Jul
San Jose Earthquakes II
0 : 1 North Texas
13 Jul
San Jose Earthquakes II
0 : 1 Tacoma Defiance
08 Jul
San Jose Earthquakes II
6 : 1 Sporting Kansas City II
27 Jun
Portland Timbers 2
2 : 3 San Jose Earthquakes II
18 Jun
Vancouver Whitecaps 2
3 : 2 San Jose Earthquakes II
Page 1 of 6
27 Jun
Portland Timbers 2
2 : 3 San Jose Earthquakes II
18 Jun
Vancouver Whitecaps 2
3 : 2 San Jose Earthquakes II
24 May
North Texas
2 : 3 San Jose Earthquakes II
13 May
Real Monarchs
2 : 1 San Jose Earthquakes II
02 May
Ventura County
1 : 3 San Jose Earthquakes II
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Columbus Crew 2 | 19 | 14 | 0 | 5 | 35:29 | 39 |
| 2 | New York Red Bulls II | 19 | 10 | 0 | 9 | 40:29 | 32 |
| 3 | New England Revolution II | 17 | 11 | 0 | 6 | 23:20 | 32 |
| 4 | New York City II | 16 | 9 | 0 | 7 | 27:23 | 28 |
| 5 | CT United FC | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 33:32 | 28 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union II | 19 | 9 | 0 | 10 | 21:23 | 26 |
| 7 | Toronto FC II | 19 | 8 | 0 | 11 | 30:36 | 25 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati 2 | 18 | 5 | 0 | 13 | 17:34 | 14 |
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Crown Legacy | 18 | 13 | 0 | 5 | 44:27 | 37 |
| 2 | Orlando City B | 19 | 12 | 0 | 7 | 40:33 | 35 |
| 3 | Chattanooga | 19 | 12 | 0 | 7 | 35:30 | 34 |
| 4 | Atlanta United 2 | 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 38:28 | 30 |
| 5 | Chicago Fire II | 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 29:27 | 27 |
| 6 | Huntsville City | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 31:35 | 25 |
| 7 | Carolina Core | 19 | 5 | 0 | 14 | 22:32 | 18 |
| 8 | Inter Miami II | 16 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 14:41 | 5 |
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Portland Timbers 2 | 19 | 12 | 0 | 7 | 25:23 | 37 |
| 2 | Ventura County | 19 | 11 | 0 | 8 | 34:27 | 32 |
| 3 | Los Angeles FC 2 | 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 28:30 | 29 |
| 4 | San Jose Earthquakes II | 17 | 9 | 0 | 8 | 37:20 | 28 |
| 5 | Tacoma Defiance | 19 | 9 | 0 | 10 | 23:26 | 27 |
| 6 | Real Monarchs | 19 | 10 | 0 | 9 | 31:35 | 26 |
| 7 | Vancouver Whitecaps 2 | 19 | 6 | 0 | 13 | 25:40 | 17 |
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Houston Dynamo 2 | 17 | 14 | 0 | 3 | 39:15 | 40 |
| 2 | Austin FC II | 17 | 13 | 0 | 4 | 36:16 | 40 |
| 3 | Minnesota United 2 | 20 | 10 | 0 | 10 | 28:32 | 29 |
| 4 | St. Louis City 2 | 19 | 10 | 0 | 9 | 30:32 | 29 |
| 5 | North Texas | 17 | 8 | 0 | 9 | 27:21 | 25 |
| 6 | Sporting Kansas City II | 19 | 5 | 0 | 14 | 24:50 | 16 |
| 7 | Colorado Rapids 2 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 17:37 | 12 |
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 5)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Columbus Crew 2 | 19 | 14 | 0 | 5 | 35:29 | 39 |
| 2 | Crown Legacy | 18 | 13 | 0 | 5 | 44:27 | 37 |
| 3 | Orlando City B | 19 | 12 | 0 | 7 | 40:33 | 35 |
| 4 | Chattanooga | 19 | 12 | 0 | 7 | 35:30 | 34 |
| 5 | New York Red Bulls II | 19 | 10 | 0 | 9 | 40:29 | 32 |
| 6 | New England Revolution II | 17 | 11 | 0 | 6 | 23:20 | 32 |
| 7 | Atlanta United 2 | 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 38:28 | 30 |
| 8 | New York City II | 16 | 9 | 0 | 7 | 27:23 | 28 |
| 9 | CT United FC | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 33:32 | 28 |
| 10 | Chicago Fire II | 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 29:27 | 27 |
| 11 | Philadelphia Union II | 19 | 9 | 0 | 10 | 21:23 | 26 |
| 12 | Toronto FC II | 19 | 8 | 0 | 11 | 30:36 | 25 |
| 13 | Huntsville City | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 31:35 | 25 |
| 14 | Carolina Core | 19 | 5 | 0 | 14 | 22:32 | 18 |
| 15 | FC Cincinnati 2 | 18 | 5 | 0 | 13 | 17:34 | 14 |
| 16 | Inter Miami II | 16 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 14:41 | 5 |
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 6)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Houston Dynamo 2 | 17 | 14 | 0 | 3 | 39:15 | 40 |
| 2 | Austin FC II | 17 | 13 | 0 | 4 | 36:16 | 40 |
| 3 | Portland Timbers 2 | 19 | 12 | 0 | 7 | 25:23 | 37 |
| 4 | Ventura County | 19 | 11 | 0 | 8 | 34:27 | 32 |
| 5 | Minnesota United 2 | 20 | 10 | 0 | 10 | 28:32 | 29 |
| 6 | St. Louis City 2 | 19 | 10 | 0 | 9 | 30:32 | 29 |
| 7 | Los Angeles FC 2 | 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 28:30 | 29 |
| 8 | San Jose Earthquakes II | 17 | 9 | 0 | 8 | 37:20 | 28 |
| 9 | Tacoma Defiance | 19 | 9 | 0 | 10 | 23:26 | 27 |
| 10 | Real Monarchs | 19 | 10 | 0 | 9 | 31:35 | 26 |
| 11 | North Texas | 17 | 8 | 0 | 9 | 27:21 | 25 |
| 12 | Vancouver Whitecaps 2 | 19 | 6 | 0 | 13 | 25:40 | 17 |
| 13 | Sporting Kansas City II | 19 | 5 | 0 | 14 | 24:50 | 16 |
| 14 | Colorado Rapids 2 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 17:37 | 12 |
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)