Sport Picks

USA

MLS Next Pro Zions Bank Stadium, Herriman, UT

Real Monarchs

2 - 4

Tacoma Defiance

Our Tip

Match Events

Djiro L.

31'

Sub

Ream L. In: Cowell C.

Out: Ream L.

35'

Gaffney C.

Assist: Bronnik M.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The MLS Next Pro game between Real Monarchs and Tacoma Defiance finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tacoma Defiance.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%

Real Monarchs

15%

Draws

51%

Tacoma Defiance

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tacoma Defiance

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence

Tacoma Defiance carry the better recent record into this one.
Tacoma Defiance are the model's pick here, at 50%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 88%

Over 2.5 Goals 84%

Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 23%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%

Real Monarchs Clean Sheet 10%

Tacoma Defiance Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Real Monarchs	Tacoma Defiance
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	13	16
Draws	0	0
Losses	17	14
Goals Scored	1.57	1.63
Goals Conceded	1.97	1.57
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 31, 2026 MLS Next Pro

Real Monarchs vs Tacoma Defiance

3:0

Jul 20, 2026 MLS Next Pro

Real Monarchs vs Tacoma Defiance

2:4

Jun 22, 2026 MLS Next Pro

Tacoma Defiance vs Real Monarchs

1:0

Sep 1, 2025 MLS Next Pro

Real Monarchs vs Tacoma Defiance

3:0

Jul 18, 2025 MLS Next Pro

Tacoma Defiance vs Real Monarchs

2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Real Monarchs Compare

Top Goalscorer Djiro L.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Amparo I.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.15

Avg xA / game 0.75

Tacoma Defiance Compare

Top Goalscorer Bronnik M.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Gaffney C.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 2.22

Avg xA / game 1.36

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Monarchs 22 / 100

Tacoma Defiance 47 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Real Monarchs Tacoma Defiance

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tacoma Defiance Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Real Monarchs scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Tacoma Defiance let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Real Monarchs has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Real Monarchs VS Tacoma Defiance

1.13 Goals Scored 2.38

2.5 Goals Conceded 1.88

88% Over 1.5 88%

88% Over 2.5 88%

38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Monarchs

(Home)

20 Sept

Real Monarchs

2 : 1

Ventura County

17 Sept

Real Monarchs

0 : 1

Minnesota United 2

14 Sept

San Jose Earthquakes II

4 : 0

Real Monarchs

05 Sept

North Texas

4 : 1

Real Monarchs

31 Aug

Real Monarchs

3 : 0

Tacoma Defiance

Page 1 of 6

Tacoma Defiance

(Away)

20 Sept

Tacoma Defiance

2 : 1

Portland Timbers 2

14 Sept

Ventura County

3 : 0

Tacoma Defiance

06 Sept

San Jose Earthquakes II

1 : 2

Tacoma Defiance

31 Aug

Real Monarchs

3 : 0

Tacoma Defiance

25 Aug

Tacoma Defiance

4 : 0

Sporting Kansas City II

Page 1 of 6