Sport Picks
Real Monarchs vs Ventura County
USA
MLS Next Pro Zions Bank Stadium, Herriman, UT 
Match Events
6'
6'
Villa G.
24'
24'
Anderson O.
45'
45'
Silva N.
Assist: Lifferth Z.
AI Match Summary
The MLS Next Pro game between Real Monarchs and Ventura County finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Real Monarchs.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
15%
57%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ventura County
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Ventura County carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Ventura County a 57% chance of winning this.
- Regular MLS Next Pro form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Real Monarchs Clean Sheet 10%
Ventura County Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Real Monarchs | Ventura County |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 13 | 19 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 17 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.57 | 2.06 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.97 | 1.45 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 2.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 20, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Real Monarchs vs Ventura County
2:1
Jun 28, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Ventura County vs Real Monarchs
3:1
Apr 13, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Ventura County vs Real Monarchs
2:0
Sep 15, 2025 MLS Next Pro
Real Monarchs vs Ventura County
2:1
Jun 2, 2025 MLS Next Pro
Ventura County vs Real Monarchs
4:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Real Monarchs Compare
Top Goalscorer Silva N.
1 Goals Assists Leader Anderson O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Ventura County Compare
Top Goalscorer Djieze J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 2.45
Avg xA / game 1.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Real Monarchs 10 / 100
Ventura County 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Real Monarchs Ventura County
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ventura County Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.
Real Monarchs found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).
Ventura County let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.
Solid form: Real Monarchs remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Real Monarchs VS Ventura County
1.13 Goals Scored 2.88
2.5 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Real Monarchs
(Home) 20 Sept
Real Monarchs
2 : 1 Ventura County
17 Sept
Real Monarchs
0 : 1 Minnesota United 2
14 Sept
San Jose Earthquakes II
4 : 0 Real Monarchs
05 Sept
North Texas
4 : 1 Real Monarchs
31 Aug
Real Monarchs
3 : 0 Tacoma Defiance
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Real Monarchs
2 : 1 Ventura County
17 Sept
Real Monarchs
0 : 1 Minnesota United 2
31 Aug
Real Monarchs
3 : 0 Tacoma Defiance
20 Jul
Real Monarchs
2 : 4 Tacoma Defiance
12 Jul
Real Monarchs
2 : 1 Vancouver Whitecaps 2
Page 1 of 4
Ventura County
(Away) 20 Sept
Real Monarchs
2 : 1 Ventura County
14 Sept
Ventura County
3 : 0 Tacoma Defiance
10 Sept
San Jose Earthquakes II
1 : 3 Ventura County
06 Sept
Los Angeles FC 2
1 : 2 Ventura County
29 Aug
Colorado Rapids 2
2 : 3 Ventura County
Page 1 of 7
20 Sept
Real Monarchs
2 : 1 Ventura County
10 Sept
San Jose Earthquakes II
1 : 3 Ventura County
06 Sept
Los Angeles FC 2
1 : 2 Ventura County
29 Aug
Colorado Rapids 2
2 : 3 Ventura County
14 Aug
Houston Dynamo 2
0 : 2 Ventura County
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Columbus Crew 2 | 28 | 17 | 0 | 11 | 49:43 | 48 |
| 2 | New England Revolution II | 28 | 16 | 0 | 12 | 47:42 | 48 |
| 3 | New York City II | 28 | 16 | 0 | 12 | 50:44 | 47 |
| 4 | CT United FC | 28 | 16 | 0 | 12 | 59:52 | 46 |
| 5 | New York Red Bulls II | 28 | 15 | 0 | 13 | 58:48 | 46 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union II | 28 | 14 | 0 | 14 | 37:40 | 43 |
| 7 | Toronto FC II | 28 | 13 | 0 | 15 | 48:56 | 39 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati 2 | 28 | 7 | 0 | 21 | 32:62 | 20 |
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Crown Legacy | 28 | 20 | 0 | 8 | 67:39 | 58 |
| 2 | Chattanooga | 28 | 19 | 0 | 9 | 56:39 | 56 |
| 3 | Atlanta United 2 | 28 | 15 | 0 | 13 | 62:46 | 48 |
| 4 | Huntsville City | 28 | 14 | 0 | 14 | 49:47 | 44 |
| 5 | Orlando City B | 28 | 15 | 0 | 13 | 55:56 | 44 |
| 6 | Chicago Fire II | 28 | 13 | 0 | 15 | 50:48 | 39 |
| 7 | Carolina Core | 28 | 10 | 0 | 18 | 40:53 | 31 |
| 8 | Inter Miami II | 28 | 4 | 0 | 24 | 30:74 | 15 |
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Portland Timbers 2 | 28 | 19 | 0 | 9 | 37:29 | 57 |
| 2 | Ventura County | 28 | 18 | 0 | 10 | 58:36 | 53 |
| 3 | Los Angeles FC 2 | 28 | 14 | 0 | 14 | 50:48 | 45 |
| 4 | San Jose Earthquakes II | 28 | 14 | 0 | 14 | 51:36 | 42 |
| 5 | Tacoma Defiance | 28 | 14 | 0 | 14 | 40:44 | 41 |
| 6 | Real Monarchs | 28 | 12 | 0 | 16 | 38:55 | 33 |
| 7 | Vancouver Whitecaps 2 | 28 | 10 | 0 | 18 | 39:62 | 27 |
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Austin FC II | 28 | 21 | 0 | 7 | 54:21 | 65 |
| 2 | Houston Dynamo 2 | 28 | 18 | 0 | 10 | 53:33 | 52 |
| 3 | Minnesota United 2 | 28 | 15 | 0 | 13 | 43:39 | 45 |
| 4 | St. Louis City 2 | 28 | 14 | 0 | 14 | 42:40 | 44 |
| 5 | North Texas | 28 | 14 | 0 | 14 | 42:41 | 40 |
| 6 | Sporting Kansas City II | 28 | 7 | 0 | 21 | 36:75 | 23 |
| 7 | Colorado Rapids 2 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 22 | 28:52 | 21 |
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)
League Standings (Group 5)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Crown Legacy | 28 | 20 | 0 | 8 | 67:39 | 58 |
| 2 | Chattanooga | 28 | 19 | 0 | 9 | 56:39 | 56 |
| 3 | Atlanta United 2 | 28 | 15 | 0 | 13 | 62:46 | 48 |
| 4 | Columbus Crew 2 | 28 | 17 | 0 | 11 | 49:43 | 48 |
| 5 | New England Revolution II | 28 | 16 | 0 | 12 | 47:42 | 48 |
| 6 | New York City II | 28 | 16 | 0 | 12 | 50:44 | 47 |
| 7 | CT United FC | 28 | 16 | 0 | 12 | 59:52 | 46 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls II | 28 | 15 | 0 | 13 | 58:48 | 46 |
| 9 | Huntsville City | 28 | 14 | 0 | 14 | 49:47 | 44 |
| 10 | Orlando City B | 28 | 15 | 0 | 13 | 55:56 | 44 |
| 11 | Philadelphia Union II | 28 | 14 | 0 | 14 | 37:40 | 43 |
| 12 | Toronto FC II | 28 | 13 | 0 | 15 | 48:56 | 39 |
| 13 | Chicago Fire II | 28 | 13 | 0 | 15 | 50:48 | 39 |
| 14 | Carolina Core | 28 | 10 | 0 | 18 | 40:53 | 31 |
| 15 | FC Cincinnati 2 | 28 | 7 | 0 | 21 | 32:62 | 20 |
| 16 | Inter Miami II | 28 | 4 | 0 | 24 | 30:74 | 15 |
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)
League Standings (Group 6)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Austin FC II | 28 | 21 | 0 | 7 | 54:21 | 65 |
| 2 | Portland Timbers 2 | 28 | 19 | 0 | 9 | 37:29 | 57 |
| 3 | Ventura County | 28 | 18 | 0 | 10 | 58:36 | 53 |
| 4 | Houston Dynamo 2 | 28 | 18 | 0 | 10 | 53:33 | 52 |
| 5 | Minnesota United 2 | 28 | 15 | 0 | 13 | 43:39 | 45 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC 2 | 28 | 14 | 0 | 14 | 50:48 | 45 |
| 7 | St. Louis City 2 | 28 | 14 | 0 | 14 | 42:40 | 44 |
| 8 | San Jose Earthquakes II | 28 | 14 | 0 | 14 | 51:36 | 42 |
| 9 | Tacoma Defiance | 28 | 14 | 0 | 14 | 40:44 | 41 |
| 10 | North Texas | 28 | 14 | 0 | 14 | 42:41 | 40 |
| 11 | Real Monarchs | 28 | 12 | 0 | 16 | 38:55 | 33 |
| 12 | Vancouver Whitecaps 2 | 28 | 10 | 0 | 18 | 39:62 | 27 |
| 13 | Sporting Kansas City II | 28 | 7 | 0 | 21 | 36:75 | 23 |
| 14 | Colorado Rapids 2 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 22 | 28:52 | 21 |
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)
