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Real Murcia B vs Racing Murcia Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Lilu
3' Event
Bianco L.
35' Event
Garcia A.

AI Match Summary

Real Murcia B in this Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Real Murcia B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Real Murcia B
15%
Draws
0%
Racing Murcia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Real Murcia B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Real Murcia B lately — more wins on the board than Racing Murcia.
  • Win probability leans Real Murcia B's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Real Murcia B here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Real Murcia B Clean Sheet 68%
Racing Murcia Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Murcia B Racing Murcia
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 9
Draws 7 6
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.33 1
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 4, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Real Murcia B vs Racing Murcia
3:1
Sep 17, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Racing Murcia vs Real Murcia B
1:2
Jan 22, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Racing Murcia vs Real Murcia B
0:1
Sep 25, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Real Murcia B vs Racing Murcia
2:4
Apr 9, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Racing Murcia vs Real Murcia B
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Real Murcia B Compare

Top Goalscorer Lilu
1 Goals
Assists Leader Garcia A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Racing Murcia Compare

Top Goalscorer Bianco L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Murcia B 95 / 100
Racing Murcia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Murcia B Racing Murcia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Real Murcia B Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Racing Murcia registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Real Murcia B found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Racing Murcia let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Real Murcia B VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Murcia B

(Home)
27 Sept
Pena Deportiva
0 : 2
Real Murcia B
20 Sept
Real Murcia B
0 : 1
Mallorca B
13 Sept
La Nucia
5 : 1
Real Murcia B
05 Sept
Real Murcia B
1 : 2
Orihuela
22 Aug
Torrellano
1 : 0
Real Murcia B
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Racing Murcia

(Away)
11 May
Balsicas Atletico
2 : 1
Racing Murcia
04 May
Racing Murcia
0 : 3
Muleno CF
01 May
Ciudad de Murcia
3 : 1
Racing Murcia
27 Apr
Racing Murcia
2 : 4
Molinense
21 Apr
Caravaca
5 : 1
Racing Murcia
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Deportiva Minera 34 24 6 4 53:19 78
2 Real Murcia B 34 20 8 6 67:33 68
3 Ciudad Cieza 34 19 11 4 44:24 68
4 UCAM Murcia B 34 19 5 10 42:24 62
5 Caravaca 34 18 7 9 60:32 61
6 Lorca Deportiva 34 17 8 9 64:30 59
7 Molinense 34 18 5 11 60:34 59
8 CA Pulpileno 34 13 13 8 39:23 52
9 Muleno CF 34 12 7 15 37:42 43
10 Racing Murcia 34 11 7 16 36:51 40
11 Plus Ultra 34 12 2 20 43:56 38
12 E.G. El Palmar 34 9 9 16 33:52 36
13 Bullense 34 10 6 18 40:65 36
14 Balsicas Atletico 34 9 9 16 35:53 36
15 Alcantarilla 34 10 6 18 34:41 36
16 Ciudad de Murcia 34 7 9 18 28:43 30
17 CD Algar 34 7 8 19 31:65 29
18 Montecasillas 34 7 2 25 31:90 23
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2023/2024 (Play Offs)