Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2023/2024

Racing Murcia

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Real Murcia B play Racing Murcia in the Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2023/2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Real Murcia B averaged 1.76 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. Racing Murcia averaged 1 goals scored and 1.57 conceded. In past meetings, Real Murcia B won 4, Racing Murcia won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 4, 2024 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.60 for Real Murcia B and 1.19 for Racing Murcia. This points to a Real Murcia B double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%

Real Murcia B

16%

Draws

30%

Racing Murcia

Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: Real Murcia B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / High Confidence

Real Murcia B picked up more points recently compared to Racing Murcia.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.60 vs 1.19 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 78%

Over 2.5 Goals 49%

Over 3.5 Goals 29%

Over 4.5 Goals 15%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%

Real Murcia B Clean Sheet 20%

Racing Murcia Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 70%

Second Half Goal 74%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Real Murcia B	Racing Murcia
Matches Played	46	30
Wins	22	9
Draws	11	6
Losses	13	15
Goals Scored	1.76	1
Goals Conceded	1.2	1.57

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 4, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13

Real Murcia B vs Racing Murcia

Possession: 43% - 47% Cards: 3 - 0

3:1

Sep 17, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 13

Racing Murcia vs Real Murcia B

Possession: 42% - 41% Cards: 2 - 2

1:2

Jan 22, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 13

Racing Murcia vs Real Murcia B

Possession: 40% - 51% Cards: 2 - 4

0:1

Sep 25, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 13

Real Murcia B vs Racing Murcia

Possession: 50% - 51% Cards: 2 - 4

2:4

Apr 9, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 13

Racing Murcia vs Real Murcia B

Possession: 42% - 46% Cards: 0 - 1

1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Real Murcia B Compare

Top Goalscorer Lilu

1 Goals

Assists Leader Garcia A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.54

Avg xA / game 1

Racing Murcia Compare

Top Goalscorer Bianco L.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Murcia B 53 / 100

Racing Murcia 29 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Real Murcia B Racing Murcia

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Real Murcia B Win (1)

Secondary Pick Real Murcia B & Under 3.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +17.2%

2.17

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +14.2%

2.33

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Real Murcia B attacking → ← attacking Racing Murcia

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Murcia B scored in 76% of their last 46 games.

Racing Murcia let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Real Murcia B went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Racing Murcia lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

77 Points in last 5 33

2.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Deportiva Minera	34	24	6	4	53:19	78
2	Real Murcia B	34	20	8	6	67:33	68
3	Ciudad Cieza	34	19	11	4	44:24	68
4	UCAM Murcia B	34	19	5	10	42:24	62
5	Caravaca	34	18	7	9	60:32	61
6	Lorca Deportiva	34	17	8	9	64:30	59
7	Molinense	34	18	5	11	60:34	59
8	CA Pulpileno	34	13	13	8	39:23	52
9	Muleno CF	34	12	7	15	37:42	43
10	Racing Murcia	34	11	7	16	36:51	40
11	Plus Ultra	34	12	2	20	43:56	38
12	E.G. El Palmar	34	9	9	16	33:52	36
13	Bullense	34	10	6	18	40:65	36
14	Balsicas Atletico	34	9	9	16	35:53	36
15	Alcantarilla	34	10	6	18	34:41	36
16	Ciudad de Murcia	34	7	9	18	28:43	30
17	CD Algar	34	7	8	19	31:65	29
18	Montecasillas	34	7	2	25	31:90	23