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Real Murcia B vs Santomera

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Araujo Q.
41' Event
Martinez R.
54' Event
El Aoud I.

AI Match Summary

Santomera in this Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Santomera.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Real Murcia B
20%
Draws
51%
Santomera
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Santomera

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Real Murcia B lately — more wins on the board than Santomera.
  • Model gives Santomera a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Real Murcia B Clean Sheet 20%
Santomera Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Murcia B Santomera
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 11 9
Draws 7 4
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.48 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.52 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Real Murcia B vs Santomera
2:3
Dec 21, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Santomera vs Real Murcia B
0:4
Feb 1, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Real Murcia B vs Santomera
1:1
Sep 22, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Santomera vs Real Murcia B
1:0
Feb 19, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Real Murcia B vs Santomera
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Real Murcia B Compare

Top Goalscorer Martinez R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Meca A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Santomera Compare

Top Goalscorer Araujo Q.
1 Goals
Assists Leader El Aoud I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Murcia B 12 / 100
Santomera 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Murcia B Santomera

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santomera Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santomera's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 27 matches.

Real Murcia B scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Real Murcia B remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Real Murcia B VS Santomera
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Murcia B

(Home)
13 Sept
La Nucia
5 : 1
Real Murcia B
05 Sept
Real Murcia B
1 : 2
Orihuela
22 Aug
Torrellano
1 : 0
Real Murcia B
20 Jun
Pamplona
1 : 1
Real Murcia B
14 Jun
Real Murcia B
2 : 1
Pamplona
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Santomera

(Away)
13 Sept
UD Los Garres
2 : 2
Santomera
05 Sept
Santomera
2 : 1
UCAM Murcia B
28 Aug
Santomera
3 : 1
Torrellano
22 Aug
Santomera
1 : 2
Ciudad Cieza
19 Aug
Santomera
1 : 4
Crevillente
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ciudad Cieza 34 21 10 3 65:21 73
2 Real Murcia B 34 17 8 9 59:44 59
3 Molinense 34 17 8 9 46:34 59
4 Club Olimpico de Totana 34 15 13 6 44:27 58
5 Mazarron FC 34 14 14 6 50:33 56
6 UCAM Murcia B 34 13 16 5 55:37 55
7 Aguilas FC B 34 14 10 10 47:42 52
8 CA Pulpileno 34 13 11 10 30:29 50
9 Santa Cruz 34 14 6 14 35:37 48
10 Minerva 34 11 11 12 28:39 44
11 Bala Azul 34 8 16 10 39:36 40
12 FC Cartagena SAD B 34 9 11 14 40:39 38
13 Deportivo Maritimo 34 9 9 16 38:46 36
14 E.G. El Palmar 34 8 8 18 27:48 32
15 Santomera 34 8 8 18 38:64 32
16 Caravaca 34 6 13 15 33:44 31
17 Muleno CF 34 6 13 15 33:58 31
18 Yeclano B 34 6 9 19 25:54 27
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026 (Play Offs)