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Real Murcia B vs Santomera

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Araujo Q.
41' Event
Martinez R.
54' Event
El Aoud I.

AI Match Summary

Santomera in this Tercera RFEF - Group 13 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Santomera.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Real Murcia B
17%
Draws
13%
Santomera
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Real Murcia B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Real Murcia B lately — more wins on the board than Santomera.
  • Model gives Real Murcia B a 70% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 13 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 97%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Real Murcia B Clean Sheet 68%
Santomera Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Murcia B Santomera
Matches Played 36 31
Wins 16 8
Draws 10 6
Losses 10 17
Goals Scored 1 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.29
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.71

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Real Murcia B vs Santomera
2:3
Dec 21, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Santomera vs Real Murcia B
0:4
Feb 1, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Real Murcia B vs Santomera
1:1
Sep 22, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Santomera vs Real Murcia B
1:0
Feb 19, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Real Murcia B vs Santomera
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Real Murcia B Compare

Top Goalscorer Martinez R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Meca A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Santomera Compare

Top Goalscorer Araujo Q.
1 Goals
Assists Leader El Aoud I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.17
Avg xA / game 0.72

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Murcia B 77 / 100
Santomera 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Murcia B Santomera

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MUR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santomera's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 31 matches.

Real Murcia B went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Real Murcia B found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (36 games).

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Real Murcia B VS Santomera
1 Goals Scored 1.29
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.71
88% Over 1.5 86%
38% Over 2.5 57%
25% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Murcia B

(Home)
20 Jun
Pamplona
1 : 1
Real Murcia B
14 Jun
Real Murcia B
2 : 1
Pamplona
07 Jun
Real Murcia B
2 : 1
Club Olimpico de Totana
31 May
Club Olimpico de Totana
1 : 1
Real Murcia B
24 May
Real Murcia B
2 : 0
Mazarron CF
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Santomera

(Away)
10 May
Club Olimpico de Totana
3 : 1
Santomera
02 May
Santomera
2 : 1
FC Cartagena SAD B
25 Apr
Real Murcia B
2 : 3
Santomera
19 Apr
Santomera
3 : 1
Yeclano B
12 Apr
Minerva
1 : 0
Santomera
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ciudad Cieza 34 21 10 3 65:21 73
2 Real Murcia B 34 17 8 9 59:44 59
3 Molinense 34 17 8 9 46:34 59
4 Club Olimpico de Totana 34 15 13 6 44:27 58
5 Mazarron CF 34 14 14 6 50:33 56
6 UCAM Murcia B 34 13 16 5 55:37 55
7 Aguilas FC B 34 14 10 10 47:42 52
8 CA Pulpileno 34 13 11 10 30:29 50
9 Santa Cruz 34 14 6 14 35:37 48
10 Minerva 34 11 11 12 28:39 44
11 Bala Azul 34 8 16 10 39:36 40
12 FC Cartagena SAD B 34 9 11 14 40:39 38
13 Deportivo Maritimo 34 9 9 16 38:46 36
14 E.G. El Palmar 34 8 8 18 27:48 32
15 Santomera 34 8 8 18 38:64 32
16 Caravaca 34 6 13 15 33:44 31
17 Muleno CF 34 6 13 15 33:58 31
18 Yeclano B 34 6 9 19 25:54 27
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 (Play Offs)