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Real Naval U20 vs Castanhal U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Paraense U20 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Paraense U20 2024 game between Real Naval U20 and Castanhal U20 finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Castanhal U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Real Naval U20
20%
Draws
80%
Castanhal U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Castanhal U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Castanhal U20 come out ahead of Real Naval U20 on wins alone.
  • Castanhal U20 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Paraense U20 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.8%
Real Naval U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Castanhal U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Naval U20 Castanhal U20
Matches Played 13 18
Wins 4 7
Draws 1 3
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1.69 1.67
Goals Conceded 3.08 1.78
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 27, 2024 Paraense U20
Castanhal U20 vs Real Naval U20
3:2
Nov 23, 2024 Paraense U20
Real Naval U20 vs Castanhal U20
1:1
Oct 26, 2024 Paraense U20
Real Naval U20 vs Castanhal U20
2:3
Oct 19, 2024 Paraense U20
Castanhal U20 vs Real Naval U20
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Naval U20 10 / 100
Castanhal U20 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Naval U20 Castanhal U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Castanhal U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Naval U20 found the back of the net in 92% of recent matches (13 games).

Defensive concern: Castanhal U20 conceded in 89% of 18 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.25 goals when they meet.

Castanhal U20 lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Real Naval U20 VS Castanhal U20
2 Goals Scored 2
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Naval U20

(Home)
05 Sept
Boca Juniors U20
5 : 1
Real Naval U20
01 Sept
Real Naval U20
1 : 4
Tiradentes PA U20
26 Aug
Tapajos U20
8 : 0
Real Naval U20
23 Aug
Pedreira U20
5 : 3
Real Naval U20
15 Aug
Real Naval U20
1 : 4
Tuna Luso U20
Page 1 of 3

Castanhal U20

(Away)
18 Jan
Paysandu PA U20
3 : 1
Castanhal U20
11 Jan
Castanhal U20
1 : 1
Paysandu PA U20
27 Nov
Castanhal U20
3 : 2
Real Naval U20
23 Nov
Real Naval U20
1 : 1
Castanhal U20
09 Nov
Meninos de Ouro U20
4 : 1
Castanhal U20
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tuna Luso U20 5 4 0 1 35:2 12
2 Maracana Taua U20 5 3 1 1 25:5 10
3 Belenense U20 5 3 1 1 14:4 10
4 Pinheirense U20 5 2 2 1 18:7 8
5 Comercial PA U20 5 1 0 4 4:29 3
6 Terra Alta U20 5 0 0 5 1:50 0
Promotion - Paraense U20 2024 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Paysandu PA U20 5 4 1 0 23:3 13
2 Sport Belem U20 5 4 0 1 11:1 12
3 Venus U20 5 2 1 2 11:5 7
4 Uniao Barbarense U20 5 1 2 2 9:11 5
5 Boca Junior U20 5 1 2 2 5:9 5
6 Ponte Nova U20 5 0 0 5 3:33 0
Promotion - Paraense U20 2024 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Remo U20 6 6 0 0 27:6 18
2 CRT-23 Benevides U20 6 5 0 1 21:5 15
3 Craques do Futuro U20 6 3 1 2 33:11 10
4 Atletico Barbarense U20 6 2 1 3 10:21 7
5 Atletico JM9 U20 6 1 1 4 8:24 4
6 Trabalhista U20 6 1 1 4 9:28 4
7 CA Vila Rica U20 6 1 0 5 12:25 3
Promotion - Paraense U20 2024 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fonte Nova U20 6 6 0 0 16:4 18
2 Juventude Barcarenense U20 6 5 0 1 23:2 15
3 Bragantino PA U20 6 3 0 3 10:9 9
4 Estrela PA U20 6 2 1 3 9:17 7
5 Cruzeirao U20 6 2 1 3 7:16 7
6 Tiradentes PA U20 6 2 0 4 15:13 6
7 ESMAC U20 6 0 0 6 5:24 0
Promotion - Paraense U20 2024 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Castanhal U20 6 4 0 2 13:9 12
2 Real Naval U20 6 4 0 2 13:10 12
3 Meninos de Ouro U20 6 3 1 2 13:9 10
4 Castelo dos Sonhos U20 6 0 1 5 5:16 1
Promotion - Paraense U20 2024 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aguia De Maraba U20 4 3 1 0 10:2 10
2 EC Tailandia U20 4 2 1 1 8:4 7
3 Tailandia AC U20 4 0 0 4 0:12 0
Promotion - Paraense U20 2024 (Second stage)