Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Real Normanna vs Manfredonia

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group H 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Ejjaki Y.

AI Match Summary

Real Normanna in this Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Real Normanna.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Real Normanna
30%
Draws
37%
Manfredonia
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Manfredonia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Real Normanna have won more games recently than Manfredonia.
  • Win probability leans Real Normanna's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Real Normanna Clean Sheet 20%
Manfredonia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Normanna Manfredonia
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 9
Draws 9 10
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.1 1.04
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Serie D - Group H
Real Normanna vs Manfredonia
1:0
Oct 26, 2025 Serie D - Group H
Manfredonia vs Real Normanna
0:0
Feb 10, 2018 Serie D - Group H
Manfredonia vs Real Normanna
0:2
Oct 8, 2017 Serie D - Group H
Real Normanna vs Manfredonia
1:1
Apr 25, 2010 Serie C2/C
Real Normanna vs Manfredonia
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Real Normanna Compare

Top Goalscorer Ejjaki Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Manfredonia Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Normanna 36 / 100
Manfredonia 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Normanna Manfredonia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Normanna's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Manfredonia let in goals in 61% of their last 28 matches.

Recent resilience: Real Normanna stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 1.20 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Real Normanna VS Manfredonia
1.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Normanna

(Home)
20 Sept
Palmese 1914
3 : 4
Real Normanna
16 Sept
Real Normanna
1 : 2
Martina Calcio
12 Sept
Ischia
2 : 2
Real Normanna
06 Sept
Real Normanna
2 : 0
Melfi
03 May
Gravina
3 : 2
Real Normanna
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Manfredonia

(Away)
20 Sept
Manfredonia
3 : 0
Ebolitana
16 Sept
Fidelis Andria
1 : 1
Manfredonia
12 Sept
Manfredonia
2 : 2
Nocerina
06 Sept
San Felice Gladiator
2 : 1
Manfredonia
03 May
Acerrana
1 : 2
Manfredonia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barletta 34 20 10 4 54:20 70
2 Martina Calcio 34 18 8 8 47:30 62
3 Citta di Fasano 34 18 8 8 51:35 62
4 Paganese 34 17 7 10 36:32 58
5 A.C.D. Nardo 34 14 13 7 40:27 55
6 Gravina 34 16 7 11 50:40 55
7 Afragolese 34 13 10 11 45:46 49
8 Fidelis Andria 34 13 9 12 35:28 48
9 Virtus Francavilla 34 12 12 10 45:40 48
10 Real Normanna 34 10 13 11 27:26 43
11 Francavilla 34 11 10 13 39:38 43
12 Manfredonia 34 11 10 13 34:39 43
13 Sarnese 34 9 14 11 51:49 41
14 SS Nola 1925 34 11 8 15 42:50 41
15 Heraclea 34 10 8 16 31:39 38
16 Pompei 34 9 7 18 26:38 34
17 Ferrandina 34 7 9 18 21:43 30
18 Acerrana 34 3 5 26 20:74 14
Promotion - Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 (Play Out)