Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Real Normanna vs Manfredonia

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group H
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Ejjaki Y.

AI Match Summary

Real Normanna in this Serie D - Group H matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Real Normanna.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Real Normanna
30%
Draws
37%
Manfredonia
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Manfredonia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Medium Confidence
  • Manfredonia average 1.13 goals a game right now, well clear of Real Normanna's 0.88.
  • Win probability leans Real Normanna's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
Real Normanna Clean Sheet 20%
Manfredonia Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Normanna Manfredonia
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 10
Draws 11 9
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 0.88 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Serie D - Group H
Real Normanna vs Manfredonia
1:0
Oct 26, 2025 Serie D - Group H
Manfredonia vs Real Normanna
0:0
Feb 10, 2018 Serie D - Group H
Manfredonia vs Real Normanna
0:2
Oct 8, 2017 Serie D - Group H
Real Normanna vs Manfredonia
1:1
Apr 25, 2010 Serie C2/C
Real Normanna vs Manfredonia
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Real Normanna Compare

Top Goalscorer Ejjaki Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Manfredonia Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Normanna 36 / 100
Manfredonia 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Normanna Manfredonia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Real Normanna stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Real Normanna scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Manfredonia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.20 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Real Normanna VS Manfredonia
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
38% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Normanna

(Home)
03 May
Gravina
3 : 2
Real Normanna
26 Apr
Real Normanna
2 : 0
Citta di Fasano
19 Apr
Afragolese
0 : 0
Real Normanna
12 Apr
Martina Calcio
2 : 0
Real Normanna
02 Apr
Real Normanna
1 : 0
Paganese
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Manfredonia

(Away)
03 May
Acerrana
1 : 2
Manfredonia
26 Apr
Manfredonia
0 : 0
Fidelis Andria
19 Apr
A.C.D. Nardo
2 : 0
Manfredonia
12 Apr
Manfredonia
1 : 0
SS Nola 1925
02 Apr
Heraclea
1 : 1
Manfredonia
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barletta 34 20 10 4 54:20 70
2 Martina Calcio 34 18 8 8 47:30 62
3 Citta di Fasano 34 18 8 8 51:35 62
4 Paganese 34 17 7 10 36:32 58
5 A.C.D. Nardo 34 14 13 7 40:27 55
6 Gravina 34 16 7 11 50:40 55
7 Afragolese 34 13 10 11 45:46 49
8 Fidelis Andria 34 13 9 12 35:28 48
9 Virtus Francavilla 34 12 12 10 45:40 48
10 Real Normanna 34 10 13 11 27:26 43
11 Francavilla 34 11 10 13 39:38 43
12 Manfredonia 34 11 10 13 34:39 43
13 Sarnese 34 9 14 11 51:49 41
14 SS Nola 1925 34 11 8 15 42:50 41
15 Heraclea 34 10 8 16 31:39 38
16 Pompei 34 9 7 18 26:38 34
17 Ferrandina 34 7 9 18 21:43 30
18 Acerrana 34 3 5 26 20:74 14
Promotion - Serie D - Group H (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H (Play Out)