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Real Noroeste U20 vs Vitoria ES U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Capixaba U20 2024
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AI Match Summary

Real Noroeste U20 in this Capixaba U20 2024 tie, finishing 3-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Real Noroeste U20
15%
Draws
34%
Vitoria ES U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Real Noroeste U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Real Noroeste U20 haven't matched Vitoria ES U20's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Real Noroeste U20 a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Vitoria ES U20 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Real Noroeste U20, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Real Noroeste U20 Clean Sheet 16%
Vitoria ES U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Noroeste U20 Vitoria ES U20
Matches Played 12 30
Wins 7 11
Draws 2 3
Losses 3 16
Goals Scored 2.33 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.42 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.92 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2024 Capixaba U20
Vitoria ES U20 vs Real Noroeste U20
0:2
Apr 20, 2024 Capixaba U20
Real Noroeste U20 vs Vitoria ES U20
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Noroeste U20 57 / 100
Vitoria ES U20 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Noroeste U20 Vitoria ES U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Real Noroeste U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Real Noroeste U20 scored in 83% of their last 12 outings.

Vitoria ES U20 let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Solid form: Real Noroeste U20 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Vitoria ES U20
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 2.63
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Noroeste U20

(Home)
10 May
Porto Vitoria U20
5 : 1
Real Noroeste U20
05 May
Real Noroeste U20
0 : 3
Porto Vitoria U20
26 Apr
Vitoria ES U20
0 : 2
Real Noroeste U20
20 Apr
Real Noroeste U20
3 : 2
Vitoria ES U20
13 Apr
Jaguare U20
1 : 2
Real Noroeste U20
Page 1 of 3

Vitoria ES U20

(Away)
18 May
Rio Branco ES U20
3 : 0
Vitoria ES U20
13 May
Vitoria ES U20
0 : 2
Rio Branco ES U20
06 May
Vilavelhense U20
1 : 0
Vitoria ES U20
26 Apr
Vitoria ES U20
2 : 0
Vilavelhense U20
18 Apr
Sport-ES U20
2 : 4
Vitoria ES U20
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Rio Branco ES U20 6
Vilavelhense U20 3
Capixaba SC U20 5
Nova Venecia U20 5
Real Noroeste U20 5
Vitoria ES U20 2
Estrela do Norte U20 2
Porto Vitoria U20 10
Semi-finals
Rio Branco ES U20 4
Nova Venecia U20 2
Real Noroeste U20 1
Porto Vitoria U20 8
Final
Rio Branco ES U20 3
Porto Vitoria U20 5