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Real Noroeste vs Castelo FC

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Capixaba 2014
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AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Campeonato Capixaba 2014 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Real Noroeste
22%
Draws
60%
Castelo FC
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Castelo FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Real Noroeste have won more games recently than Castelo FC.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Castelo FC taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Real Noroeste Clean Sheet 20%
Castelo FC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Noroeste Castelo FC
Matches Played 41 34
Wins 16 10
Draws 10 11
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.13 0
Goals Conceded 1.38 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 6, 2019 Capixaba
Real Noroeste vs Castelo FC
5:0
May 10, 2014 Capixaba
Real Noroeste vs Castelo FC
1:1
Mar 16, 2014 Capixaba
Castelo FC vs Real Noroeste
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Noroeste 20 / 100
Castelo FC 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Noroeste Castelo FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Real Noroeste remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Real Noroeste found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (41 games).

Castelo FC has conceded goals in 71% of their last 34 outings.

Scoring Trends

Real Noroeste VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Noroeste

(Home)
14 Jun
Real Noroeste
0 : 0
Democrata GV
30 May
Vitoria ES
1 : 1
Real Noroeste
23 May
Tombense
1 : 1
Real Noroeste
16 May
Real Noroeste
0 : 0
Rio Branco ES
09 May
Porto-BA
1 : 2
Real Noroeste
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Castelo FC

(Away)
18 Nov
Vilavelhense
2 : 2
Castelo FC
13 Nov
Castelo FC
0 : 1
Vilavelhense
26 Oct
Capixaba SC
3 : 2
Castelo FC
18 Oct
Castelo FC
3 : 0
Sport-ES
15 Oct
GEL
1 : 7
Castelo FC
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1SAO Mateus1686226:1130
2Linhares Futebol Clube1693428:1730
3Estrela do Norte1685322:1329
4Castelo FC1676328:2027
5Vitoria ES1664626:2322
6Real Noroeste1656520:1921
7Desportiva Ferroviaria1663721:2221
8Colatina SE1634916:3313
9Conilon16111410:394
Promotion - Campeonato Capixaba 2014 (Play Offs)