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Real Noroeste vs SAO Mateus Prediction & H2H Stats

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Campeonato Capixaba 2016
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AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Capixaba 2016 game between Real Noroeste and SAO Mateus finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Real Noroeste.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Real Noroeste
35%
Draws
19%
SAO Mateus
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Real Noroeste

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • SAO Mateus haven't matched Real Noroeste's recent run of results.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Real Noroeste taking it.
  • Regular Campeonato Capixaba 2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Real Noroeste here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Real Noroeste Clean Sheet 20%
SAO Mateus Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Noroeste SAO Mateus
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 11 6
Draws 8 4
Losses 13 20
Goals Scored 1.16 0.73
Goals Conceded 1.19 2.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 13, 2021 Capixaba
Real Noroeste vs SAO Mateus
2:0
Mar 14, 2020 Capixaba
SAO Mateus vs Real Noroeste
1:3
Jan 20, 2018 Capixaba
SAO Mateus vs Real Noroeste
1:4
Mar 25, 2017 Capixaba
SAO Mateus vs Real Noroeste
0:2
Feb 27, 2016 Capixaba
SAO Mateus vs Real Noroeste
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Noroeste 85 / 100
SAO Mateus 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Noroeste SAO Mateus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Real Noroeste Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: SAO Mateus conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Real Noroeste went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: SAO Mateus registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Real Noroeste VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Noroeste

(Home)
14 Jun
Real Noroeste
0 : 0
Democrata GV
30 May
Vitoria ES
1 : 1
Real Noroeste
23 May
Tombense
1 : 1
Real Noroeste
16 May
Real Noroeste
0 : 0
Rio Branco ES
09 May
Porto-BA
1 : 2
Real Noroeste
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SAO Mateus

(Away)
26 Oct
CTE Colatina
0 : 3
SAO Mateus
19 Oct
SAO Mateus
0 : 6
Linhares Futebol Clube
16 Oct
Pinheiros
5 : 0
SAO Mateus
03 Oct
SAO Mateus
0 : 6
Vilavelhense
28 Sept
SAO Mateus
1 : 5
CTE Colatina
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rio Branco ES 8 5 2 1 10:5 17
2 Real Noroeste 8 4 3 1 7:4 15
3 Linhares Futebol Clube 8 4 0 4 7:8 12
4 SAO Mateus 8 2 1 5 5:8 7
5 Sport-ES 8 1 2 5 5:9 5
Promotion - Campeonato Capixaba 2016 (Second stage)
Relegation - Campeonato Capixaba 2016 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Desportiva Ferroviaria 8 5 3 0 10:3 18
2 Galatas 8 3 3 2 6:2 12
3 CA Itapemirim 8 2 4 2 5:4 10
4 Estrela do Norte 8 2 2 4 4:7 8
5 Doze Futebol Clube 8 1 2 5 1:10 5
Promotion - Campeonato Capixaba 2016 (Second stage)
Relegation - Campeonato Capixaba 2016 (Relegation Group)