Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera Division - Group 2 2016/2017

Atletico de Lugones

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Real Oviedo B play Atletico de Lugones in the Tercera Division - Group 2 2016/2017. Real Oviedo B are favorites here. Recently, Real Oviedo B averaged 1.32 goals scored and 1 conceded. Atletico de Lugones averaged 0.63 goals scored and 1.84 conceded. In past meetings, Real Oviedo B won 5, Atletico de Lugones won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jan 28, 2018 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.35 for Real Oviedo B and 1.06 for Atletico de Lugones. This points to a Real Oviedo B double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

62%

Real Oviedo B

15%

Draws

23%

Atletico de Lugones

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Real Oviedo B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence

Real Oviedo B picked up more points recently compared to Atletico de Lugones.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.35 vs 1.06 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 65%

Over 2.5 Goals 39%

Over 3.5 Goals 23%

Over 4.5 Goals 12%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37%

Real Oviedo B Clean Sheet 22%

Atletico de Lugones Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 59%

Second Half Goal 62%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Real Oviedo B	Atletico de Lugones
Matches Played	34	32
Wins	16	7
Draws	8	5
Losses	10	20
Goals Scored	1.32	0.63
Goals Conceded	1	1.84

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 28, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 2

Atletico de Lugones vs Real Oviedo B

Possession: 44% - 58% Cards: 3 - 3

0:1

Sep 8, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 2

Real Oviedo B vs Atletico de Lugones

Possession: 60% - 51% Cards: 0 - 2

5:0

Feb 25, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 2

Real Oviedo B vs Atletico de Lugones

Possession: 58% - 54% Cards: 1 - 4

2:0

Oct 9, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 2

Atletico de Lugones vs Real Oviedo B

Possession: 41% - 56% Cards: 0 - 3

0:2

Mar 6, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 2

Real Oviedo B vs Atletico de Lugones

Possession: 43% - 57% Cards: 4 - 2

3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Oviedo B 60 / 100

Atletico de Lugones 23 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Real Oviedo B Atletico de Lugones

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Real Oviedo B Win (1)

Secondary Pick Real Oviedo B & Under 3.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +14.7%

1.85

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +18.2%

3.03

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Real Oviedo B attacking → ← attacking Atletico de Lugones

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Oviedo B scored in 68% of their last 34 games.

Atletico de Lugones let in goals in 81% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Real Oviedo B went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Atletico de Lugones lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

56 Points in last 5 26

1.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Gijon B	38	28	8	2	112:18	92
2	Real Aviles	38	26	7	5	90:34	85
3	Langreo	38	25	9	4	78:26	84
4	Tuilla	38	26	6	6	61:35	84
5	Real Oviedo B	38	22	9	7	78:32	75
6	Marino De Luanco	38	22	9	7	61:36	75
7	Covadonga	38	19	6	13	69:50	63
8	Condal	38	17	11	10	65:50	62
9	Union Club Ceares	38	14	7	17	47:63	49
10	Llanes	38	12	12	14	53:44	48
11	CD Colunga	38	15	3	20	51:59	48
12	CD Mosconia	38	9	8	21	38:84	35
13	Llanera	38	9	8	21	38:61	35
14	Praviano	38	9	8	21	46:78	35
15	L Entregu CF	38	8	9	21	27:66	33
16	Club Siero	38	8	9	21	36:83	33
17	Atletico de Lugones	38	7	10	21	42:78	31
18	CD Tineo	38	6	13	19	42:71	31
19	Lenense	38	7	9	22	50:84	30
20	Basico Urraca	38	6	9	23	32:64	27