Sport Picks

Spain

LaLiga 2025/2026 Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere

Real Oviedo

0 - 1

Alaves

Our Tip

Match Events

17'

Martinez T.

Assist: Rebbach A.

46'

Sub

Fonseca N. In: Fernandez T.

Out: Fonseca N.

46'

Sub

Rebbach A. In: Enriquez Y.

Out: Rebbach A.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The LaLiga 2025/2026 game between Real Oviedo and Alaves finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alaves.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%

Real Oviedo

22%

Draws

60%

Alaves

Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Alaves

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence

Look at the last few games and Alaves come out ahead of Real Oviedo on wins alone.
Win probability leans Alaves's way, sitting at 60%.
Regular LaLiga 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 75%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%

Real Oviedo Clean Sheet 15%

Alaves Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Real Oviedo	Alaves
Matches Played	29	28
Wins	4	10
Draws	11	7
Losses	14	11
Goals Scored	0.63	1.63
Goals Conceded	1.5	1.63
Expected Goals (xG)	0.63	1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.50	1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 LaLiga

Real Oviedo vs Alaves

Possession: 43% - 59% Cards: 1 - 1

0:1

Jan 4, 2026 LaLiga

Alaves vs Real Oviedo

Possession: 48% - 58% Cards: 1 - 1

1:1

Jan 13, 2023 LaLiga2

Real Oviedo vs Alaves

Possession: 47% - 49% Cards: 3 - 3

1:0

Oct 29, 2022 LaLiga2

Alaves vs Real Oviedo

Possession: 49% - 53% Cards: 1 - 2

2:1

Jul 30, 2022 Club Friendly

Alaves vs Real Oviedo

Possession: 53% - 45% Cards: 1 - 1

0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Real Oviedo Compare

Avg xG / game 0.48

Avg xA / game 0.32

Alaves Compare

Top Goalscorer Martinez T.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.48

Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Oviedo 19 / 100

Alaves 68 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Real Oviedo Alaves

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALA Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alaves let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

Real Oviedo found the back of the net in 45% of recent matches (29 games).

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Real Oviedo remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Real Oviedo VS Alaves

0.63 Goals Scored 1.63

1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63

75% Over 1.5 75%

50% Over 2.5 63%

0% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Barcelona	38	31	1	6	95:36	94
2	Real Madrid	38	27	5	6	77:35	86
3	Villarreal	38	22	6	10	72:46	72
4	Atl. Madrid	38	21	6	11	62:44	69
5	Betis	38	15	15	8	59:48	60
6	Celta Vigo	38	14	12	12	53:48	54
7	Getafe	38	15	6	17	32:38	51
8	Rayo Vallecano	38	12	14	12	41:44	50
9	Valencia	38	13	10	15	46:55	49
10	Real Sociedad	38	11	13	14	59:61	46
11	Espanyol	38	12	10	16	43:55	46
12	Ath Bilbao	38	13	6	19	43:58	45
13	Sevilla	38	12	7	19	46:60	43
14	Alaves	38	11	10	17	44:56	43
15	Elche	38	10	13	15	49:57	43
16	Levante	38	11	9	18	47:61	42
17	Osasuna	38	11	9	18	44:50	42
18	Mallorca	38	11	9	18	47:57	42
19	Girona	38	9	14	15	39:55	41
20	Real Oviedo	38	6	11	21	26:60	29